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When do increasing carbon taxes accelerate global warming? A note on the green paradox

机译:增加碳税何时能加速全球变暖?关于绿色悖论的注释

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摘要

The "green paradox" by Hans-Werner Sinn suggests that increasing resource taxes accelerate global warming because resource owners increase near-term extraction in fear of higher future taxation. In this note we show that this effect does only occur for the specific set of carbon taxes that increase at a rate higher than the effective discount rate of the resource owners. We calculate a critical initial value for the carbon tax that leads to a decreased cumulative consumption over the entire (infinite) time horizon. Applying our formal findings to carbon taxes for several mitigation targets, we conclude that there is a low risk of a green paradox in case the regulator implements and commits to a permanently mal-adjusted tax. This remaining risk can be avoided by emissions trading scheme as suggested by Sinn-as long as the emission caps are set appropriately and the intertemporal permit market works correctly.
机译:汉斯·沃纳·辛恩(Hans-Werner Sinn)提出的“绿色悖论”表明,资源税的增加加速了全球变暖,因为资源所有者增加了近期的开采量,因为他们担心未来会增加税收。在本说明中,我们表明,只有以高于资源所有者的有效折现率的速度增加的特定碳税集,才会发生这种影响。我们计算了碳税的关键初始值,该值导致整个(无限)时间范围内的累计消耗量减少。将我们的正式调查结果应用到针对多个减排目标的碳税中,我们得出结论,如果监管机构实施并承诺永久性地对税收进行错误调整,那么绿色悖论的风险就很小。只要Sinn建议采用排放交易计划,就可以避免这种剩余风险,只要适当设置排放上限并确保跨期许可证市场正常运行即可。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2011年第4期|p.2208-2212|共5页
  • 作者单位

    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany,Technische Universitat Berlin, Strasse des 17.Juni 135, 10623 Berlin, Germany;

    Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PO Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    climate policy; resource taxes; supply-side dynamics;

    机译:气候政策;资源税;供应方动态;

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