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首页> 外文期刊>Energy Policy >A new energy paradigm for Turkey: A political risk-inclusive cost analysis for sustainable energy
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A new energy paradigm for Turkey: A political risk-inclusive cost analysis for sustainable energy

机译：土耳其的新能源范例：可持续能源的政治风险包容成本分析

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摘要

Implementing sustainable development policies in order to achieve economic and social development while maintaining adequate environmental protection to minimize the damage inflicted by the constantly increasing world population must be a major priority in the 21st century. While the emerging global debate on potential cost-effective responses has produced potential solutions such as cap and trade systems and/or carbon taxes as part of evolving sustainable energy/environmental policies, this kind of intellectual inquiry does not seem to be an issue among Turkish policy-making elites. This is mainly due to their miscalculation that pursuing sustainable energy policies is much more expensive in comparison to the utilization of fossil fuels such as natural gas. Nevertheless, the pegged prices of an energy sector dominated by natural gas are illusive, as both the political risks and environmental damage have not been incorporated into the current cost calculations. This paper evaluates energy policies through a lens of risk management and takes an alternative approach to calculating energy costs by factoring in political risks. This formulation reveals that the cost of traditional fossil-based energy is in fact more expensive than renewable energy. In addition to being environmentally friendly, the paradigm shift towards renewable energy policies would provide Turkey with a significant opportunity to stimulate its economy by being one of the first countries to develop green technologies and as a result this burgeoning sector would prompt job creation as well; mainly due to the externalities.
机译：实施可持续发展政策，以实现经济和社会发展，同时保持适当的环境保护，以最大程度地减少不断增长的世界人口造成的损害，这是21世纪的主要优先事项。尽管有关潜在的成本效益对策的全球辩论已经产生了潜在的解决方案，例如上限和交易制度和/或碳税，作为不断发展的可持续能源/环境政策的一部分，但这种智力探索似乎并不是土耳其语中的问题决策精英。这主要是由于他们的估算错误，与使用化石燃料（例如天然气）相比，执行可持续能源政策的成本要高得多。然而，以天然气为主导的能源部门的钉住价格是虚幻的，因为政治风险和环境破坏均未纳入当前成本计算中。本文通过风险管理的角度对能源政策进行了评估，并通过考虑政治风险采用了另一种方法来计算能源成本。这种表述表明，传统的基于化石的能源的成本实际上比可再生能源的成本更高。除了对环境友好外，向可再生能源政策转变的范式还将成为土耳其成为第一个开发绿色技术的国家之一，从而刺激土耳其经济的重要机会，因此，这个迅速发展的部门也将促进创造就业机会；主要是由于外部性。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2011年第5期|p.2386-2395|共10页
  • 作者

    Serhan Oksay; Emre Iseri;

  • 作者单位

    Kadir Has University, Department of Business Administration, Turkey;

    Kadir Has University, Department of International Relations, Cibali Campus, Kadir Has Caddesi 34083, Istanbul, Turkey;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Sustainability; Renewable energy; Turkey;

    机译：可持续性;可再生能源;土耳其;

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