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Expert opinions on carbon dioxide capture and storage-A framing of uncertainties and possibilities

机译：关于二氧化碳捕集与封存的专家意见-不确定性和可能性的框架

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摘要

There are many uncertainties and knowledge gaps regarding the development of carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS)-e.g., when it comes to costs, life-cycle effects, storage capacity and permanence. In spite of these uncertainties and barriers, the CCS research community is generally very optimistic regarding CCS' development. The discrepancy between the uncertainties and the optimism is the point of departure in this study, which is based on interviews with 24 CCS experts. The aim is to analyse experts' framings of CCS with focus on two key aspects: (ⅰ) the function and potential of CCS and (ⅱ) uncertainties. The optimism among the CCS experts is tentatively explained. The interpretative flexibility of CCS is claimed to be an essential explanation for the optimism. CCS is promoted from a wide variety of perspectives, e.g., solidarity and peace, bridge to a sustainable energy system, sustaining the modern lifestyle and compatibility with the fossil fuel lock-in. Awareness of the uncertainties and potential over-optimism is warranted within policy and decision making as they often rely on scientific forecasts and experts' judgements.
机译：关于二氧化碳捕集与封存（CCS）的发展存在很多不确定性和知识差距，例如，在成本，生命周期影响，储存能力和持久性方面。尽管存在这些不确定性和障碍，但CCS研究界通常对CCS的发展非常乐观。这项不确定性与乐观之间的差异是本研究的出发点，该研究基于对24位CCS专家的访谈。目的是分析CCS专家的框架，重点放在两个关键方面：( :) CCS的功能和潜力以及（ⅱ）不确定性。初步解释了CCS专家的乐观态度。 CCS的解释灵活性被认为是乐观主义的基本解释。从团结与和平的广泛角度促进CCS的发展，它是通往可持续能源系统，维持现代生活方式和与化石燃料锁定兼容的桥梁。在决策和决策过程中，必须充分意识到不确定性和潜在的过度乐观情绪，因为它们通常依赖于科学预测和专家的判断。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Policy》 |2009年第6期|2273-2282|共10页
  • 作者

    Anders Hansson; Marten Bryngelsson;

  • 作者单位

    Linkoeping University, Department of Technology and Social Change, SE-58183 Linkoeping, Sweden Linkoeping University, Centre for Climate Science and Policy Research, SE-60174 Norrkoeping, Sweden;

    KTH, School of Chemical Sciences, Teknikringen 50, SE-10044 Stockholm, Sweden;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    carbon dioxide capture and storage (CCS); expert opinions; uncertainty;

    机译：二氧化碳捕集与封存（CCS）;专家意见;不确定;

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