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首页> 外文期刊>Energy Policy >Developing pathways to low carbon land-based passenger transport in Great Britain by 2050
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Developing pathways to low carbon land-based passenger transport in Great Britain by 2050

机译：到2050年在英国开发通往低碳陆上客运的途径

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摘要

The key aim of this paper is to examine strategic pathways to low carbon personal transport in Britain and to compare these with the current trajectory of transport policy. A 2050 baseline was established using trend information, forecasts and best evidence from the literature on response to policy intervention. A range of strategies are tested including: technological development, pricing, public transport and soft measures. We conclude that even dramatic technological advance cannot meet the more stringent targets for carbon reduction in the absence of considerable behavioural change. The most promising combinations of measures involve clear price signals to encourage both a reduction in the use of motorised transport and the development and purchase of more efficient vehicles; decarbonisation of public transport and facilitating measures to enhance access whilst reducing the need for motorised travel.
机译：本文的主要目的是研究英国低碳个人运输的战略途径，并将其与当前的运输政策轨迹进行比较。利用趋势信息，预测和文献中有关政策干预的最佳证据，建立了2050年的基准。测试了一系列策略，包括：技术开发，定价，公共交通和软措施。我们得出的结论是，在缺乏重大行为改变的情况下，即使是技术进步也无法满足更严格的碳减排目标。最有希望的措施组合包括明确的价格信号，以鼓励减少机动运输的使用以及鼓励开发和购买更高效的车辆；减少公共交通的碳排放，并采取措施增加通行范围，同时减少机动出行的需求。

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