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Assessing the energy vulnerability: Case of industrialised countries

机译：评估能源脆弱性：工业化国家的案例

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摘要

The emergence of new big consumer countries on the energy markets and the perspective of oil and gas depletion at the end of the current century raise the concerns about fair distribution of the remaining resources for the common and sustainable well-being of the mankind. High volatility of energy prices discourages the investment and delays the energy technology transition. Voluntary measures are needed mainly in industrialised countries in order to develop alternative and sustainable energy sources, to enable technology transfer towards emerging and developing countries and to avoid struggle for energy procurement. In this paper, a composite index of energy demand/supply weaknesses is defined as a proxy of energy vulnerability. The proposed index is based on several indicators such as energy intensity, oil and gas import dependency, CO_2 content of primary energy supply, electricity supply weaknesses and non-diversity in transport fuels. The assessment of this composite index for selected industrialised countries is discussed as well as the sensitivity to various factors.
机译：在本世纪末，能源市场上出现了新的大型消费国，人们对石油和天然气的枯竭前景提出了关注，即剩余资源的公平分配将为人类的共同和可持续福祉带来关注。能源价格的高波动阻碍了投资并延迟了能源技术的过渡。主要在工业化国家需要采取自愿措施，以发展替代和可持续的能源，使技术向新兴和发展中国家转移，并避免为能源采购而奋斗。在本文中，将能源需求/供应弱点的综合指数定义为能源脆弱性的代表。拟议的指标基于几个指标，例如能源强度，石油和天然气进口依赖性，一次能源供应的CO_2含量，电力供应弱点以及运输燃料的非多样性。讨论了对某些工业化国家的综合指数的评估以及对各种因素的敏感性。

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