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New ways for the integrated appraisal of national energy scenarios: The case of renewable energy use in Austria

机译：综合评估国家能源情景的新方法：奥地利的可再生能源使用案例

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Increasing the contribution of renewable energy sources in heat and electricity production is a nationally and internationally acknowledged aim for sustainable development. In this context, the participatory development and appraisal of energy scenarios can be useful for enabling stakeholders to explore future energy options and for supporting the national policy discourse. The five renewable energy scenarios considered refer to Austria in the year 2020. The innovative methodology applied, which was developed as part of the ARTEMIS project, examines possible energy futures paths by combining (1) scenario development; (2) multi-criteria evaluation; and (3) a participatory process with stakeholders and energy experts on the national level. Economic, social, environmental and technological impacts as well as revealed social preferences are used for the ranking of the scenarios. Due to the paramount importance of bioenergy in Austria, special emphasis in the scenario development is put on the contribution of biomass. Two main bioenergy issues and their consideration in the ARTEMIS project are explicitly addressed in this paper: the cascadic utilisation of biomass resources and the demand for land area and land area conflicts. Overall, we demonstrate how the methodology can be applied in practice and what insights policy-makers can gain from it. We also explore the methodology's limitations, especially regarding the effort required for participatory scenario building and the availability of stakeholders.
机译：增加可再生能源在热力和电力生产中的贡献是国家和国际公认的可持续发展目标。在这种情况下，参与式能源情景的开发和评估对于使利益相关者能够探索未来的能源选择以及支持国家政策讨论非常有用。所考虑的五种可再生能源情景涉及2020年的奥地利。作为ARTEMIS项目的一部分而开发的所采用的创新方法论，通过结合以下两种方法研究了可能的能源未来路径：（1）情景开发； （2）多标准评价； （3）在国家一级与利益相关者和能源专家共同参与。经济，社会，环境和技术的影响以及所揭示的社会偏好被用于场景的排名。由于在奥地利生物能源至关重要，因此在情景开发中特别强调生物量的贡献。本文明确阐述了两个主要的生物能源问题及其在ARTEMIS项目中的考虑：生物质资源的级联利用以及对土地面积和土地面积冲突的需求。总体而言，我们演示了该方法如何可以在实践中应用以及决策者可以从中获得哪些见解。我们还探讨了该方法的局限性，特别是在参与性情景构建所需的工作量和利益相关者的可用性方面。

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