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Determination of the optimal installation capacity of small hydro-power plants through the use of technical, economic and reliability indices

机译：通过使用技术，经济和可靠性指标来确定小型水力发电厂的最佳安装容量

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摘要

One of the most important issues in planning Small Hydro-Power Plants (SHPPs) of the "run-off river" type is to determine the optimal installation capacity of the SHPP and estimate its optimal annual energy value. In this paper, a method to calculate the annual energy is presented, as is the program developed using Excel software. This program analyzes and estimates the most important economic indices of an SHPP using the sensitivity analysis method. Another program, developed by Matlab software, calculates the reliability indices for a number of units of an SHPP with a specified load duration curve using the Monte Carlo method. Ultimately, comparing the technical, economic and reliability indices will determine the optimal installation capacity of an SHPP. By applying the above-mentioned algorithm to a sample SHPP named "Nari" (located in the northern part of Iran), the optimal capacity of 3.75 MW is obtained.
机译：规划“径流河”型小型水力发电站（SHPP）的最重要问题之一是确定SHPP的最佳安装能力并估算其最佳年度能​​源价值。本文介绍了一种计算年度能源的方法，以及使用Excel软件开发的程序。该程序使用敏感性分析方法分析和估算SHPP最重要的经济指标。由Matlab软件开发的另一个程序，使用蒙特卡洛方法计算具有指定负载持续时间曲线的SHPP的多个单元的可靠性指标。最终，比较技术，经济和可靠性指标将确定SHPP的最佳安装能力。通过将上述算法应用于名为“ Nari”的样本SHPP（位于伊朗北部），可获得3.75 MW的最佳容量。

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