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Proposal for a Quantitative Skill Risk Evaluation Method Using Fault Tree Analysis

机译：基于故障树分析的定量技能风险评估方法的建议

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摘要

Project teams must be comprised of skilled individuals; however, project managers often face challenges when assigned team members have a shortage of skills. This potential for a project team's shortage of skill is expressed as project skill risk in this paper. When this occurs, project managers must identify the project team's skill status and take appropriate action. Hence, project managers should understand the skill status of a team and monitor this status in a timely manner, especially for a project that requires expertise. In addition, by understanding skill similarity among team members, project managers can reduce project skill risk. The method proposed in this study creates a systematized quantitative process to evaluate project skill risk in order to generate an objective understanding of team skill status so that decisions can be made proactively during the project planning and execution phases. The proposed method uses a skill risk fault tree and skill risk control chart. The skill risk fault tree is used to evaluate quantitative risk, whereas the skill risk control chart is used to visualize skill risk status. The proposed method incorporates skill similarity to allow for flexibility in project skill risk-related actions. The feasibility and efficiency of the proposed method are then verified through a case study involving an information technology system infrastructure transition project.
机译：项目团队必须由熟练的人员组成；但是，当分配的团队成员缺乏技能时，项目经理通常会面临挑战。在本文中，项目团队缺乏技能的这种潜在可能性表示为项目技能风险。发生这种情况时，项目经理必须确定项目团队的技能状态并采取适当的措施。因此，项目经理应了解团队的技能状态并及时监控此状态，尤其是对于需要专业知识的项目。此外，通过了解团队成员之间的技能相似性，项目经理可以降低项目技能风险。本研究中提出的方法创建了一个系统化的定量过程来评估项目技能风险，以便对团队技能状态产生客观的了解，以便可以在项目计划和执行阶段主动做出决策。所提出的方法使用技能风险故障树和技能风险控制图。技能风险故障树用于评估定量风险，而技能风险控制图用于可视化技能风险状态。所提出的方法结合了技能相似性以允许项目技能风险相关行为的灵活性。然后，通过一个涉及信息技术系统基础架构过渡项目的案例研究，验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。

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