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首页> 外文期刊>Environment and Planning >Will natural disasters accelerate neighborhood decline? A discrete-time hazard analysis of residential property vacancy and abandonment before and after Hurricane Andrew in Miami-Dade County (1991-2000)
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Will natural disasters accelerate neighborhood decline? A discrete-time hazard analysis of residential property vacancy and abandonment before and after Hurricane Andrew in Miami-Dade County (1991-2000)

机译：自然灾害会加剧邻里衰落吗？迈阿密-戴德县（1991-2000）飓风安德鲁飓风前后住宅空置和废弃的离散时间危害分析

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摘要

This study examines the impact of an abrupt catastrophic natural disaster on residential property vacancy and abandonment. Using the discrete-time hazard model with parcel-level land-use data in Miami-Dade County, Florida, from two years prior to and eight years after Hurricane Andrew (1991-2000), the analysis shows that Hurricane Andrew triggered widespread property vacancy and abandonment in its impact area, especially in neighborhoods already in decline. Occurrence of vacancy and abandonment is determined by damage intensity and the preevent neighborhood sociodemographic characteristics. The analysis also shows that vacant and abandoned properties exert a negative spillover effect that can induce a succession of vacancy and abandonment over time. This paper concludes with a discussion about planning implications regarding neighborhood transition and disaster recovery.
机译：这项研究考察了突然的灾难性自然灾害对住宅物业空置和遗弃的影响。使用佛罗里达州迈阿密戴德县的离散时间危害模型和地块级土地利用数据，从安德鲁飓风发生的前两年（1991-2000年）开始到八年后（1991-2000年），分析表明安德鲁飓风引发了广泛的房地产空置并放弃其影响区域，尤其是在已经开始衰落的社区。空缺和遗弃的发生取决于破坏强度和事前邻里社会人口统计学特征。分析还显示，空置和废弃的物业会产生负面的溢出效应，随着时间的流逝，这些空缺会导致一系列的空置和遗弃。本文最后讨论了有关邻里过渡和灾难恢复的规划含义。

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