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Climate impacts on nutrition and labor supply disentangled - an analysis for rural areas of Uganda

机译:对营养和劳工供应的气候影响解开 - 乌干达农村地区分析

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The entire agricultural supply chain, from crop production to food consumption, is expected to suffer significant damages from climate change. This paper empirically investigates the effects of warming on agricultural labor supply through variation in dietary intake in rural Uganda. We examine labor supply, food consumption, and overall social welfare under various climate change scenarios. First, we combine nationally representative longitudinal survey data with high-resolution climatic data using an instrumental variable approach. Controlling for calorie intake, our study shows that warming has a non-linear impact on agricultural labor supply, with the number of hours worked being optimized at an optimal temperature of 21.3 degrees C. Using these econometric estimates to parametrize an overlapping generations model, we find that under RCP8.5, output per adult decreases by 20 per cent by the end of the century due to the combined effect of climate change on food consumption and labor supply.
机译:从农作物生产到食品消费的整个农业供应链预计会受到气候变化的重大损害。本文通过乌干达农村饮食摄入量的变化来验证对农业劳动力供应的影响。我们在各种气候变化方案下审查劳动力供应,食品消费和整体社会福利。首先,我们使用乐器可变方法将国家代表性纵向调查数据与高分辨率气候数据相结合。我们的研究表明,对卡路里的摄入量显示,温暖对农业劳动力供应具有非线性影响,在最佳温度为21.3摄氏度的最佳温度下进行了优化的数量。使用这些经济学估计,我们发现根据RCP8.5,由于气候变化对食品消费和劳工供应的综合影响,每年的每人产量减少了20%。

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