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Quasi-option value and hard uncertainty

机译:准期权价值和硬不确定性

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摘要

The notion of intertemporal h-option value is introduced to extend to environmental decision-making problems of the concept of quasi-option value, defined by Arrow and Fisher and Henry, whenever an individual faces imprecise information, or hard uncertainty, represented by a non-additive measure over events. Under hard uncer- tainty and irreversibility, the decision-maker faces the intertemporal h-option value, that is an uncertainty premium of preservation, which represents the gain from being able to learn about the future consequences of irreversible actions. The intertemporal h-option value is a correction factor that has to be taken into account in evaluating the total econ- omic value of feasible actions.
机译:引入跨时h-期权价值的概念是为了扩展到Arrow和Fisher和Henry定义的准期权价值概念的环境决策问题,只要个人面对的信息不准确或难以确定,即由非-对事件的累加度量。在严峻的不确定性和不可逆性的条件下,决策者将面临跨期h期权价值,即保值的不确定性溢价,这代表了能够了解不可逆行动的未来后果。跨期h选项值是一个校正因子,在评估可行措施的总经济价值时必须将其考虑在内。

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