When contemplating the basic message of the piece under discussion here, the observation made by Viscount Bolingbroke in his 'Reflections upon Exile' immediately comes to mind: 'Truth lies within a certain compass, But error is immense'. And so it is with forecasts, whether they relate to an Idea that all people could be Voltaires, given universal education, or the World market for computers, or the weather forecast for tomorrow. Forecasts are frequently wrong, either being too optimistic, or perhaps More common, being a little too pessimistic.
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