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Time Trends and Persistence in the Global CO_2 Emissions Across Europe

机译:欧洲全球CO_2排放的时间趋势和持久性

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摘要

We analyze the evolution across time of CO2 emissions in the European Union (EU) using advanced econometric techniques in time series analysis. We estimate the time trends along with the orders of integration of series corresponding to global CO2 emissions in EU member states using both parametric and semiparametric methods. The results show that there is a significantly negative trend only in the case of the UK, this being also a country where the trend shows mean reversion. At the other extreme, Spain, Italy, Greece and Bulgaria are some of the countries where CO2 emissions show positive trends and orders of integration that are substantially above unity. Moreover, we examine the CO2 emissions of the EU as a whole, China and the US, finding some support for mean reversion only in the second case. Therefore, there is less urgent need for policy reforms in the U.K. and somehow China than in the rest of the EU or the US.
机译:我们在时间序列分析中分析了欧盟(EU)中二氧化碳排放时间的演变。我们使用参数和半统计方法对应于欧盟成员国的全局二氧化碳排放的系列序列的时间趋势估计。结果表明,只有在英国的情况下,这也是一个显着负面的趋势,这也是一个趋势表现出平均回归的国家。在另一个极端,西班牙,意大利,希腊和保加利亚是一些国家的一些国家,其中二氧化碳排放表明积极的趋势和融合的融合秩序,这是基本上高于统一的。此外,我们将欧盟作为整体,中国和美国的二氧化碳排放,发现仅在第二种情况下对平均回归的一些支持。因此,迫切需要迫切需要美国的政策改革。和某种方式中国比其他欧盟或美国在内。

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