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Policy Goals for Improved Water Quality in the Baltic Sea: When do the Benefits Outweigh the Costs?

机译:改善波罗的海水质的政策目标:何时收益超过成本?

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This paper develops and applies a spatially explicit bioeconomic model to study transboundary nutrient pollution of the Baltic Sea. We combine catchment, marine and economic models covering the entire Baltic Sea region to weigh the costs of nutrient abatement and the benefits of improved water quality and solve for the optimal level of water protection. The overall benefits of the Baltic Sea Action Plan, the present convention on nutrient abatement, clearly outweigh the costs. Nevertheless, the total cost could be almost halved if the mix of measures and the regional targets were planned in a spatially cost-effective manner and if the consequent reductions of nitrogen and phosphorus, the two nutrients causing eutrophication, were better balanced. Policy optimizations, however, suggest that the optimal level of nutrient abatement is somewhat lower than the more ambitious level envisaged by the convention. The welfare gains from cost sharing that makes the optimal level of nutrient abatement worthwhile for all littoral countries would be 170 million euros annually.
机译:本文开发并应用了空间明确的生物经济模型来研究波罗的海的越境营养物污染。我们将覆盖整个波罗的海地区的集水区,海洋和经济模型相结合,以权衡减少营养物的成本和改善水质的好处,并寻求最佳的水保护水平。本《关于减少营养的公约》《波罗的海行动计划》的总体收益显然超过了成本。然而,如果以空间上划算的方式计划措施和区域目标的混合,并且由此更好地平衡导致富营养化的两种营养素氮和磷的减少,则总成本几乎可以减少一半。然而,政策上的优化表明,最佳的营养削减水平比公约设想的更为雄心勃勃的水平要低一些。成本分摊所带来的福利收益,使所有沿海国家的最佳营养消除水平每年价值高达1.7亿欧元。

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