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首页> 外文期刊>Environmental & Resource Economics >Valuing Provisioning Ecosystem Services in Agriculture: The Impact of Climate Change on Food Production in the United Kingdom
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Valuing Provisioning Ecosystem Services in Agriculture: The Impact of Climate Change on Food Production in the United Kingdom

机译：重视农业中的供应生态系统服务：气候变化对英国粮食生产的影响

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摘要

This paper provides an estimate of the contribution of the ecosystem to the provisioning services generated by agriculture. This is achieved by valuing the changes in productivity generated by a marginal alteration in ecosystem inputs. As an example, we consider the variation in rainfall and temperature projected by the recent UK Climate Impacts Programme. The analysis implements a spatially explicit, econometric model of agricultural land use based on the methodology recently developed by Fezzi and Bateman (Am J Agric Econ 93:1168-1188, 2011). Land use area and livestock stocking rates are then employed to calculate farm gross margin estimates of the value of changes in provisioning ecosystem services. Findings suggest that the variation in ecosystem inputs induced by climate change will have substantial influence on agricultural productivity. Interestingly, within the UK context climate change generates mainly positive effects, although losses are forecasted for those southern areas most vulnerable to heat-stress and drought.
机译：本文提供了生态系统对农业产生的供应服务的贡献的估计。这是通过评估生态系统投入的边际变化产生的生产力变化来实现的。例如，我们考虑了最近英国气候影响计划预测的降雨和温度变化。该分析基于Fezzi和Bateman最近开发的方法（Am J Agric Econ 93：1168-1188，2011）实现了农业土地利用的空间明确的计量经济学模型。然后，将土地使用面积和牲畜放养率用于计算农场对提供生态系统服务价值的估计值。研究结果表明，气候变化引起的生态系统投入的变化将对农业生产率产生重大影响。有趣的是，在英国范围内，气候变化主要产生积极影响，尽管预计南部地区最容易遭受热应激和干旱的损失。

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  • 来源
    《Environmental & Resource Economics》 |2014年第2期|197-214|共18页
  • 作者

    Carlo Fezzi; Ian Bateman; Tom Askew; Paul Munday; Unai Pascual; Antara Sen; Amii Harwood;

  • 作者单位

    CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;

    CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;

    Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge, CB39EP, Cambridge, UK;

    CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;

    Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge, CB39EP, Cambridge, UK,Basque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Alameda Urquijo, 4-4, 48008, Bilbao, Basque Country,Ikerbasque Basque Foundation for Science, Alameda Urquijo, 36-5, 48011, Bilbao, Basque Country;

    CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;

    CSERGE, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 关键词

    Climate change; Agriculture; Provisioning ecosystem services; UK national ecosystem assessment; Structural land use model; Censored regression;

    机译：气候变化;农业;提供生态系统服务;英国国家生态系统评估;结构性土地利用模型;删失回归;

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