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Is There a Long-Term Relationship Between Agricultural GHG Emissions and Productivity Growth? A Dynamic Panel Data Approach

机译:农业温室气体排放与生产率增长之间是否存在长期关系?动态面板数据方法

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The paper adopts a single-country regional panel dataset to analyse the long-term relationship between agricultural greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions and productivity growth and, consequently, to assess emissions sustainability. The hypothesis of emission sustainability is assessed by estimating alternative panel model specifications with conventional and GMM estimators applied to the highly heterogeneous Italian regional agriculture, whose methane and nitrous oxide emissions are properly reconstructed for the periods 1951-2008 and 1980-2008. The modelling approach and the empirical specification include the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) as one of the possible outcomes. Results suggest that, when a significant relationship between agricultural GHG emissions and productivity growth occurs, it is often monotonic and, though sustainability is accepted for some GHG, no uni-vocal robust evidence of the EKC emerges across the different specifications, estimators and periods. Policy implications of this empirical evidence are finally drawn.
机译:本文采用了一个国家区域面板数据集来分析农业温室气体(GHG)排放量与生产力增长之间的长期关系,从而评估排放量的可持续性。排放可持续性的假说是通过使用适用于高度异质的意大利区域农业的常规和GMM估算器估算替代面板模型规范进行评估的,该地区农业的甲烷和一氧化二氮排放量在1951-2008年和1980-2008年期间得到了适当的重建。建模方法和经验指标包括环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)作为可能的结果之一。结果表明,当农业温室气体排放量与生产率增长之间存在显着关系时,通常是单调的,尽管某些温室气体可以接受可持续性,但在不同的规格,估计量和时期内,并没有任何明显的证据表明存在EKC。最终得出了这些经验证据的政策含义。

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