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Exchanging Goods and Damages: The Role of Trade on the Distribution of Climate Change Costs

机译：货物和损害的交换：贸易在气候变化成本分配中的作用

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The impacts of climate change vary significantly across world regions. Whereas tropical and subtropical regions are expected to suffer severely from the effects of climate change, the impacts in northern latitudes should remain relatively moderate. However, regions are not self-sufficient, and the costs of climate change can spread across regions through international trade. I study the international spillover of climate impacts within a regionalised, climate-sensitive, dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the world economy. Using data from a global climate model shows that the world regions face welfare losses between 0.6 and 2.1 % due to climate change. 1 also show that climate change affects terms of trade and sectoral competitiveness. By means of a decomposition method, the extent of spillover impacts through international trade can be identified. Spillover impacts significantly affect, either positively or negatively, the total costs of climate change for a region. For regions with low exposure to climate change and high adaptive capacities, spillover effects are responsible for a 1/6 of the total cost of climate change.
机译：气候变化的影响在世界各地区之间差异很大。预计热带和亚热带地区将受到气候变化的严重影响，而北纬地区的影响应保持相对温和。但是，地区并不能自给自足，气候变化的成本可以通过国际贸易分散到各个地区。我在世界经济的区域化，对气候敏感，动态可计算的一般均衡模型下研究了气候影响的国际溢出效应。使用来自全球气候模型的数据表明，由于气候变化，世界地区面临的福利损失在0.6％至2.1％之间。 1还表明，气候变化影响贸易条件和部门竞争力。通过分解方法，可以确定国际贸易对溢出的影响程度。溢出影响对一个地区气候变化的总成本产生了积极或消极的影响。对于气候变化影响较小，适应能力强的地区，溢出效应占气候变化总成本的1/6。

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