Latent class count models of total visitation demand: days out hiking in the eastern Alps

Riccardo Scarpa; Mara Thiene; Tiziano Tempesta

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Latent class count models of total visitation demand: days out hiking in the eastern Alps

机译：潜在访视需求的潜在班级计数模型：东部阿尔卑斯山徒步旅行的天数

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We report preliminary results on the investigation of the hypothesis of the existence of latent classes in the total demand for days out in a vast section of the Italian Eastern Alps. Finite mixing is informed by socioeconomic variables and it is limited to the demand portion of a hurdle model of visitation. Gradually more flexible count models are estimated moving from the Poisson to the Negative Binomial-1 and -2, to the generalized negative binomial. The implications for expected consumers surplus, predicted visitation and choke prices are discussed for a plausible 2 class model where years of experience play an important role in class membership.

机译：我们报告了有关意大利东部阿尔卑斯山大部分地区几天内总需求中潜在类别存在的假设调查的初步结果。有限混合是由社会经济变量决定的，并且仅限于探视障碍模型的需求部分。从Poisson到负二项式1和-2，再到广义负二项式，估计逐渐变得更加灵活。讨论了一个合理的2类模型，该模型对预期的消费者剩余，预期的访问量和阻塞价格具有影响，其中多年的经验在类成员中起着重要的作用。

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来源
《Environmental & Resource Economics》 |2007年第4期|447-460|共14页
作者
Riccardo Scarpa; Mara Thiene; Tiziano Tempesta;
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作者单位

Economics Department, Waikato Management School, University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类资源经济学;
关键词
travel cost method; latent class analysis; destination choice modelling; preference heterogeneity; count models;

机译：差旅费法;潜在类别分析;目的地选择建模;偏好异质性计数模型;

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Latent class count models of total visitation demand: days out hiking in the eastern Alps

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