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首页> 外文期刊>Environmental engineering and management journal >ASSESSMENT OF GHG EMISSIONS IN EUROPE: FUTURE ESTIMATES AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS
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ASSESSMENT OF GHG EMISSIONS IN EUROPE: FUTURE ESTIMATES AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS

机译：评估欧洲温室气体排放量：未来估计和政策影响

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摘要

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions represents a global challenge and a quantitative approach is a support for decision makers. The aim of this paper is to estimate future values of GHG emissions in Europe, considering different periods of reference and through two common mathematical parameters (average annual growth rate (AAGR) and compound annual growth rate (CAGR)).Results analysis show that a reduction of GHG emissions can be reached. However, some Member States (MSs) as Ireland and Netherlands present a critical situation. In addition, it is defined the linear correlation of GHG emissions with both Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and population. An increase of 1000 GDP Purchasing Power Standards (PPS) means an additional 0.325 tons CO(2)eq of GHG emissions and an increase of one citizen means an additional 9.6 tons CO(2)eq of GHG emissions.Finally, a comparison among European countries is defined for 2015 according to two indexes: i) GHG emissions intensity of the economy and ii) GHG emissions per capita. A new framework is proposed, in which the average of European Union (EU) 28 is used as reference level and the target value as benchmark. Regarding the first index, Sweden occupies the first position (160 gCO(2)eq per GDP PPS) followed by Malta and France with 223 and 233 gCO(2)eq per GDP PPS, respectively. Concerning the second index, Croatia has the best performance with 5646 kgCO(2)eq per capita followed by Sweden and Latvia with 5733 and 5866 kgCO(2)eq per capita, respectively. Some policy implications are provided for the European MSs.
机译：温室气体（GHG）排放代表了全球挑战，量化方法是对决策者的支持。本文的目的是估计欧洲温室气体排放的未来价值，考虑到不同的参考时期，并通过两个常见的数学参数（平均年增长率（AGR）和复合年增长率（CAGR））。结果分析表明了可以达到GHG排放的减少。但是，一些会员国（MSS）作为爱尔兰和荷兰出现了一个危急情况。此外，它定义了GHG排放与国内生产总值（GDP）和人口的线性相关性。增加1000 GDP采购电力标准（PPS）是指温室气体排放量的额外0.325吨CO（2）欧元，增加一个公民意味着额外的9.6吨​​CO（2）欧元的温室气体排放。最后，欧洲的比较各国定为2015年根据两项指数定义：i）经济的温室气体排放强度和ii）人均温室气体排放量。提出了一个新的框架，其中欧盟（EU）28的平均值用作参考水平和目标值作为基准。关于第一指数，瑞典占据第一位置（160GCO（2）次GDP PPS），然后是马耳他和法国，分别为每GDP PPS 223和233 GCO（2）eq。关于第二个指数，克罗地亚具有最佳性能，具有5646 kgco（2）欧元人均，其次，瑞典和拉脱维亚分别具有5733和5866 kgco（2）eql人均。为欧洲MSS提供了一些政策影响。

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