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On the usefulness of the bioclimatic correlative models of SARS-CoV-2

机译：关于SARS-COV-2生物素质相关模型的有用性

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This paper addresses the effects of atmospheric conditions on the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus and its associated disease, COVID-19. For this purpose, we assess the limitations of bioclimatic correlative models to explain the geographic distribution of SARS-CoV-2 in the context of medical geography. Overall, there is a broad consensus that the global distribution of COVID-19 is not random but conditioned by environmental drivers. However, as the COVID-19 distribution becomes global, including tropical climates, the evidence reveals that atmospheric conditions explain, at most, only a limited amount of the space-time dynamics of SARS-CoV-2. Therefore, the usefulness of approaches based on bioclimatic envelopes is in question since the dominant route for the spread of COVID-19 seems to be the anthroposphere's non-stationary environment. In this sense, there is a need to clarify further the role of different transmission routes at multiple scales and outdoor and indoor environments beyond bioclimatic envelopes. At this time, the possible influence of the weather in COVID-19 spread is not sufficient to be taken into account in public health policies. Hence, until reliable bioclimatic envelopes of SARS-CoV-2, if any, are found, caution should be exercised when reporting, as this could have unforeseen consequences.
机译：本文涉及大气条件对SARS-COV-2冠状病毒及其相关疾病的蔓延的影响，Covid-19。为此目的，我们评估生物融色相关模型的局限性，以解释医疗地理背景下SARS-COV-2的地理分布。总体而言，有广泛的共识，即Covid-19的全球分布不是随意的，而是由环境司机调节。然而，由于Covid-19分配成为全球性，包括热带气候，证据表明，大气条件最多只解释了SARS-COV-2的有限数量的时空动态。因此，基于生物融合信封的方法的有用性是有问题的，因为Covid-19传播的主要途径似乎是人体圈的非静止环境。从这个意义上讲，需要阐明不同传输路线在多种尺度和室外和室内环境之外的不同传输路线的作用。此时，在公共卫生政策中，Covid-19传播中的天气可能影响不足。因此，如果发现任何可靠的SARS-COV-2的生物融合信封，如果有的话，应在报告时进行警告，因为这可能会产生不可预见的后果。

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