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首页> 外文期刊>Environmental Science & Technology >Can China Comply with Its 12th Five-Year Plan on Industrial Emissions Control: A Structural Decomposition Analysis
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Can China Comply with Its 12th Five-Year Plan on Industrial Emissions Control: A Structural Decomposition Analysis

机译：中国能否遵守其“十二五”工业排放控制计划：结构分解分析

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摘要

China's rapid economic growth has caused serious environmental problems, resulting in the implementation of two major measures-end-of-pipe facilities and the phasing out of backward capacity-to reduce China's industrial emissions as part of its 11th Five-Year Plan (FYP, 2006-2010). It is important to determine whether China can meet the targets set forth in its 12th FYP (2011-2015) for industrial pollution reduction using these same solutions. In this paper, structural decomposition analysis (SDA) was used to identify the contributions of the adopted measures-as well as other underlying factors-and to evaluate the feasibility of the reduction target in China's 12th FYP. Results show that the decrease in major industrial pollutant emissions achieved during the 11th FYP resulted from improved technological efficiency, including end-of-pipe abatement efficiency and pollutant generation intensity. The same measures adopted during China's 12th FYP can address the problem of industrial wastewater emissions resulting from economic growth when the economic structure is kept constant. But it may not fulfill its commitment of reducing industrial atmospheric pollutants emissions unless the economic structure and growth patterns are drastically reformed.
机译：中国的快速经济增长带来了严重的环境问题，导致实施了两项主要措施（管道末端设施）和逐步淘汰落后产能，以减少中国的工业排放，这是其“十一五”规划的一部分， 2006-2010）。重要的是要确定中国是否可以使用相同的解决方案来实现其“十二五”规划（2011-2015年）中规定的减少工业污染的目标。在本文中，结构分解分析（SDA）用于确定所采取措施的贡献以及其他潜在因素，并评估在中国“十二五”规划中削减目标的可行性。结果表明，“十一五”期间实现的主要工业污染物排放量减少是由于技术效率的提高，包括管道末端减排效率和污染物产生强度。在保持经济结构不变的情况下，“十二五”期间采取的相同措施可以解决经济增长导致的工业废水排放问题。但是，除非对经济结构和增长方式进行彻底改革，否则它可能无法履行减少工业大气污染物排放的承诺。

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  • 来源
    《Environmental Science & Technology》 |2015年第8期|4816-4824|共9页
  • 作者

    Wei Zhang; Jinnan Wang; Bing Zhang; Jun Bi; Hongqiang Jiang;

  • 作者单位

    State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, P.R. China,State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Planning and Policy Simulation, Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning, Beijing, 100012, P.R. China;

    State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, P.R. China,State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Planning and Policy Simulation, Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning, Beijing, 100012, P.R. China;

    State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, P.R. China,Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, Nanjing, 210000, P.R. China;

    State Key Laboratory of Pollution Control and Resource Reuse, School of the Environment, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023, P.R. China,Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, Nanjing, 210000, P.R. China;

    State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Environmental Planning and Policy Simulation, Chinese Academy for Environmental Planning, Beijing, 100012, P.R. China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
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