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首页> 外文期刊>Environmental Science & Technology >How Well Have China's Recent Five-Year Plans Been Implemented for Energy Conservation and Air Pollution Control?
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How Well Have China's Recent Five-Year Plans Been Implemented for Energy Conservation and Air Pollution Control?

机译：中国最近五年的节能和空气污染控制计划执行情况如何？

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摘要

This study evaluates how well China's 11th and 12th Five-Year Plans have been implemented in terms of energy conservation and air pollution control and deconstructs the effects of the economic, energy, and environmental policies included in the Plans. A "counterfactual" comparative-scenario method is deployed, which assumes a business as usual scenario in which the changes in economic, energy, and environmental parameters are "frozen", and then reactivates them one by one, with the help of LEAP modeling. It is found that during the 11th Five-Year Plan period, the binding targets were basically achieved. Economic growth put a great strain upon the energy demand and the environment, but energy policy made a decisive contribution by promoting energy efficiency and structure. Environmental policy promoted the deployment of end-of-pipe treatment which led to the control of certain air pollutants but at the expense of an increase in energy use and in the emission of other pollutants. During the ongoing 12th Five-Year Plan period, energy policy's potential for efficiency improvement is shrinking, but economic policy is restraining economic growth thus making a positive contribution. Environmental policy attempts to enforce multipollutant reduction, but there is still insufficient focus on the cocontrol of different pollutants and CO_2.
机译：本研究评估了中国的“十一五”和“十二五”规划在节能和空气污染控制方面的执行情况，并解构了该计划中所包含的经济，能源和环境政策的影响。部署了一种“反事实”的比较方案方法，该方法假设“冻结”经济，能源和环境参数的变化的照常情况，然后借助LEAP建模将其逐个重新激活。发现在“十一五”期间，基本达到了约束性目标。经济增长对能源需求和环境造成了巨大压力，但能源政策通过促进能源效率和结构做出了决定性的贡献。环境政策促进了管道末端处理的部署，这导致了对某些空气污染物的控制，但是却以增加能源使用和其他污染物的排放为代价。在当前的“十二五”期间，能源政策提高效率的潜力正在缩小，但经济政策正在抑制经济增长，从而做出了积极贡献。环境政策试图强制减少多种污染物，但对不同污染物和CO_2的共同控制仍缺乏足够的关注。

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  • 来源
    《Environmental Science & Technology》 |2014年第17期|10036-10044|共9页
  • 作者

    XianQiang Mao; Ji Zhou; Gabriel Corsetti;

  • 作者单位

    School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, No. 19 Xinjiekouwai Street, Beijing 100875, P. R. China;

    School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, No. 19 Xinjiekouwai Street, Beijing 100875, P. R. China;

    School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, No. 19 Xinjiekouwai Street, Beijing 100875, P. R. China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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