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Emissions Implications of Future Natural Gas Production and Use in the U.S. and in the Rocky Mountain Region

机译:美国和落基山脉地区未来天然气生产和使用的排放影响

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摘要

Enhanced prospects for natural gas production raise questions about the balance of impacts on air quality, as increased emissions from production activities are considered alongside the reductions expected when natural gas is burned in place of other fossil fuels. This study explores how trends in natural gas production over the coming decades might affect emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG), volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) for the United States and its Rocky Mountain region. The MARKAL (MARKet ALlocation) energy system optimization model is used with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's nine-region database to compare scenarios for natural gas supply and demand, constraints on the electricity generation mix, and GHG emissions fees. Through 2050, total energy system GHG emissions show little response to natural gas supply assumptions, due to offsetting changes across sectors. Policy-driven constraints or emissions fees are needed to achieve net reductions. In most scenarios, wind is a less expensive source of new electricity supplies in the Rocky Mountain region than natural gas. U.S. NO_x emissions decline in all the scenarios considered. Increased VOC emissions from natural gas production offset part of the anticipated reductions from the transportation sector, especially in the Rocky Mountain region.
机译:天然气生产前景的改善引发了人们对空气质量影响平衡的质疑,因为人们考虑了生产活动中排放的增加以及天然气替代其他化石燃料时的预期减少量。这项研究探讨了未来几十年天然气生产的趋势如何影响美国及其落基山地区的温室气体(GHG),挥发性有机化合物(VOC)和氮氧化物(NO_x)的排放。 MARKAL(市场分配)能源系统优化模型与美国环境保护局的九个区域数据库一起使用,以比较天然气供需情况,对发电组合的限制以及温室气体排放费用。到2050年,由于各部门之间的抵消性抵消,能源系统的总温室气体排放对天然气供应的假设几乎没有反应。需要政策驱动的约束或排放费才能实现净减排。在大多数情况下,与天然气相比,风在洛矶山脉地区的供电成本较低。在所有考虑的情况下,美国NO_x排放量均下降。天然气生产中挥发性有机化合物排放量的增加抵消了交通部门预期减少的排放量的一部分,特别是在落基山地区。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Environmental Science & Technology》 |2014年第22期|13036-13044|共9页
  • 作者单位

    Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States;

    Strategic Energy Analysis Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 15013 Denver West Parkway, Golden, Colorado 80401, United States;

    Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado 80309, United States;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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