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Learning as an Objective within a Structured Risk Management Decision Process

机译：在结构化风险管理决策过程中以学习为目标

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摘要

Social learning through adaptive management holds the promise of providing the basis for better risk management over time. Yet the experience with fostering social learning through adaptive management initiatives has been mixed and would benefit from practical guidance for better implementation. This paper outlines a straightforward heuristic for fostering improved risk management decisions: specifying learning for current and future decisions as one of several explicit objectives for the decision at hand, drawing on notions of applied decision analysis. In keeping with recent guidance from two important U.S. advisory commissions, the paper first outlines a view of risk management as a policy-analytic decision process involving stakeholders. Then it develops the concept of the value of learning, which broadens the more familiar notion of the value of information. After that, the concepts and steps needed to treat learning as an explicit objective in a policy decision are reviewed. The next section outlines the advantages of viewing learning as an objective, including potential benefits from the viewpoint of stakeholders, the institutions involved, and for the decision process itself. A case-study example concerning water use for fisheries and hydroelectric power in British Columbia, Canada is presented to illustrate the development of learning as an objective in an applied risk-management context.
机译：通过适应性管理进行的社会学习有望为逐步进行更好的风险管理提供基础。然而，通过适应性管理举措促进社会学习的经验是多种多样的，并且可以从实践指南中受益，以更好地实施。本文概述了用于促进改进的风险管理决策的直接启发式方法：将对当前和未来决策的学习指定为手头决策的多个明确目标之一，并借鉴应用决策分析的概念。根据美国两个重要咨询委员会的最新指导意见，本文首先概述了将风险管理视为涉及利益相关方的政策分析决策过程的观点。然后，它发展了学习价值的概念，拓宽了人们更为熟悉的信息价值概念。之后，对将学习视为政策决策中的明确目标所需的概念和步骤进行了审查。下一节概述了将学习视为目标的优势，包括从利益相关者，所涉及的机构以及决策过程本身的角度来看的潜在利益。提出了一个有关加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省渔业用水和水力发电用水的案例研究实例，以说明在应用风险管理的背景下学习作为一个目标的发展。

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