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首页> 外文期刊>Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science >Climate change response of the Mar Menor coastal lagoon (Spain) using a hydrodynamic finite element model
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Climate change response of the Mar Menor coastal lagoon (Spain) using a hydrodynamic finite element model

机译：基于水动力有限元模型的马尔梅纳尔沿海泻湖（西班牙）的气候变化响应

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摘要

The study of impacts of the global climate change in the coastal lagoons, specially in the Mediterranean region, is an important starting point for all the vulnerability studies, risk assessment and management consideration about the mitigation measurements for these areas. The coastal lagoon of Mar Menor has been chosen in order to investigate the response of a transitional environment to A2 IPCC scenario using a numerical tool. A model to reproduce the hydrodynamical processes and the salinity and temperature distribution in the Mar Menor (Spain) was developed. The hydrodynamic model was forced with real wind and water level data (1985-1986) and the results of the simulation were used to calibrate the hydrodynamic model. Simulations of salinity and temperature were carried out in order to validate the model and to reproduce measurements for the year 1997. The model results show a good agreement with data and the model is able to reproduce the salinity and temperature field in the Mar Menor. The climate change simulation was carried out applying the A2 anomalies for 2100 to the 1997 input data set, in order to evaluate the response of the basin in terms of water exchange temperature and salinity variations. The results of the climate change simulation show an increase of the annual mean temperature of 3.28 ℃ and a decrease of the salinity value of 1.53 PSU.
机译：对全球气候变化对沿海泻湖，特别是在地中海地区的影响的研究，是所有关于这些地区减缓措施的脆弱性研究，风险评估和管理考虑的重要起点。选择Mar Menor的沿海泻湖是为了使用数值工具研究过渡环境对A2 IPCC情景的响应。建立了一个模型，以再现马尔梅诺（西班牙）的水动力过程以及盐度和温度分布。用真实的风和水位数据（1985-1986）对流体力学模型进行了强制，并使用模拟结果对流体力学模型进行了校准。为了验证该模型并重现1997年的测量结果，进行了盐度和温度的模拟。模型结果与数据显示出良好的一致性，并且该模型能够重现Mar Menor中的盐度和温度场。为了将流域的水交换温度和盐度变化评估为流域响应，对1997年的输入数据集应用了2100的A2异常进行了气候变化模拟。气候变化模拟结果表明，年平均温度升高了3.28℃，盐度值降低了1.53 PSU。

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  • 来源
    《Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science》 |2012年第1期|118-129|共12页
  • 作者

    Francesca De Pascalis; Angel Perez-Ruzafa; Javier Gilabert; Concepcion Marcos; Georg Umgiesser;

  • 作者单位

    Institute of Marine Science - National Research Council (ISMAR-CNR), Venice, Italy,ISMAR-CNR Arsenale-Tesa, 104 Castello 2737, F 30122 Venezia, Italy;

    Department of Ecology and Hydrology, University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain;

    Department of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Cartagena, Spain;

    Department of Ecology and Hydrology, University of Murcia, Murcia, Spain;

    Institute of Marine Science - National Research Council (ISMAR-CNR), Venice, Italy,Coastal Research and Planning Institute (CORPI), Klaipeda University, Klaipeda, Lithuania;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 关键词

    climate change; hydrodynamic model; mar menor; salinity; temperature;

    机译：气候变化;水动力模型马尔梅诺尔盐度;温度;

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