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Scenarios to explore the futures of the emerging technology of organic and large area electronics

机译:探索有机和大面积电子学新兴技术前景的方案

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摘要

Emerging technologies pose challenges for futures research because of their uncertainties combined with promises. Actors are anticipating and acting strategically. Sociotechnical scenarios building on endogenous futures support and enlighten actors. Such scenarios contribute to “strategic intelligence” about the technologies and their embedding in society. Organic and large area electronics promise to substitute silicon-based technologies, but firms and potential users are reluctant to invest. Ways to break through this “waiting game” are the starting point for scenarios that were developed as in an input in strategy articulation workshops with different stakeholders and third parties. The scenarios are offered as they were an input in the workshops and are annotated to show the robustness of their construction. Recent developments confirm the diagnosis of the dynamics of the domain.
机译:新兴技术因其不确定性和前景而给期货研究带来挑战。参与者正在期待并采取战略行动。建立在内源性期货支持和启发参与者的社会技术情景下。这些场景有助于有关技术及其在社会中的“战略情报”。有机和大面积电子产品有望替代基于硅的技术,但公司和潜在用户不愿投资。突破这种“等待的游戏”的方法是在与不同的利益相关者和第三方进行的战略阐述研讨会的投入中开发的场景的起点。提供这些场景是因为它们是研讨会的输入,并带有注释以显示其构造的鲁棒性。最近的发展证实了域动态的诊断。

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