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Through Civil War, Food Crisis and Drought: Trends in Fertility and Nuptiality in Post-Soviet Tajikistan

机译:通过内战,粮食危机和干旱:后苏联塔吉克斯坦的生育率和婚姻趋势

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摘要

This article has two objectives. First, it aims to complement and extend existing research on post-socialist demographic change, which has thus far tended to focus on Central and Eastern Europe. It does this by describing the nature of post-Soviet trends in nuptiality and fertility in Tajikistan, the republic with the highest rate of population growth during the Soviet period. It finds evidence for a decrease in period fertility after independence: initially, through a decline at higher orders; then, through a significant decrease in the rate of first births, associated with a dramatic decrease in the rate of first union formation since the mid-1990s. Second, it aims to contribute to the demography of conflict and of food crisis. Most clearly, it finds strong evidence for a decrease in nuptiality and fertility associated with the 1995 food crisis.
机译:本文有两个目标。首先,它的目的是补充和扩展对后社会主义人口变化的现有研究,迄今为止,该研究一直集中在中欧和东欧。它通过描述塔吉克斯坦苏维埃后婚和生育趋势的性质来做到这一点,塔吉克斯坦是苏联时期人口增长率最高的共和国。它发现独立后时期生育能力下降的证据:最初是通过高阶下降而出现的;然后,从1990年代中期开始,随着首次生育率的显着下降,首次联合形成率急剧下降。第二,它旨在促进冲突和粮食危机的人口统计。最明显的是,它发现有力的证据表明与1995年粮食危机有关的婚育和生育力下降。

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