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Trade wars and the Slump

机译:贸易战与萧条

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摘要

Simulated optimum tariff policies to achieve plausible government targets show objective reasons for the failure of international trade cooperation during the Slump of 1929 to 1933. For the largest players, the US and UK, benefits from foreign cooperation were small or negative. France and Germany would have been the principal beneficiaries of international cooperative policies. Since cooperation on one issue, tariffs, was difficult, cooperation on many - through the cross-issue bargaining attempted at the 1933 London Conference- was well nigh impossible. Optimum coordination across policy instruments within one country, on the other hand, would have yielded high returns for policy. A corollary is that lack of internal coordination (poor domestic policies) was a more important cause of the Great Depression than failure to harmonise policies internationally.
机译:为实现合理的政府目标而模拟的最优关税政策表明了在1929年至1933年的低迷时期国际贸易合作失败的客观原因。对于最大的参与者,美国和英国,外国合作的收益很小或为负。法国和德国将是国际合作政策的主要受益者。由于在关税等一个问题上进行合作很困难,因此通过1933年伦敦会议试图通过跨问题的讨价还价在许多问题上进行合作几乎是不可能的。另一方面,一个国家内各种政策工具之间的最佳协调将为政策带来高回报。一个必然的结果是,与未能在国际上统一政策相比,缺乏内部协调(国内政策不佳)是造成大萧条的重要原因。

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