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The determinants of multinational banking during the first globalisation 1880-1914

机译:1880-1914年第一次全球化期间跨国银行业务的决定因素

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Despite a stream of information from recent research, as well as analytical interpretations, we still lack a general picture of pre-1914 multinational banking based on a unifying empirical approach comparable to that recently developed by financial economists for the wave of banks' multinational expansion in the late twentieth century. The main purpose of this article, based on a unique dataset covering the foreign branches of British, French and German banks from 1880 to 1913, is to test in a similar theoretically-driven fashion the determinants of multinational banking during the first globalisation. The empirical strategy is based on an augmented gravity model in which geography and institutions interact with economic factors in determining the patterns of multinational banking. Contrary to what has emerged from recent studies on present multinational banking, I find that the 'fundamentals' of pre-1914 foreign branching cannot easily be fitted into a gravity-like model, and that no unifying pattern of foreign expansion can be inferred from the data.
机译:尽管有来自最新研究的大量信息以及分析性的解释,但我们仍然缺乏1914年以前跨国银行的总体情况,而后者是基于统一的经验方法,该方法与金融经济学家最近针对银行跨国扩张浪潮所开发的方法可比。二十世纪后期。本文的主要目的是基于一个独特的数据集,该数据集涵盖1880年至1913年间英国,法国和德国银行的外国分支机构,旨在以理论驱动的方式检验第一次全球化期间跨国银行业务的决定因素。该经验策略基于增强重力模型,该模型中地理和机构与经济因素相互作用,以确定跨国银行业务的模式。与最近有关当前跨国银行业务的研究结果相反,我发现1914年以前的外国分支机构的“基本原理”不能轻易地拟合为类似引力的模型,并且不能从这种模型中推断出统一的国外扩张模式。数据。

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