Brent correction changes tanker arbitrage flows

Michelle Wiese Bockmann

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Brent correction changes tanker arbitrage flows

机译：布伦特修正修正油轮套利流程

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Tumbling prices for Brent, the international crude benchmark, are changing seaborne arbitrage trade flows in ways that may further benefit the tanker shipping market as it enters the seasonally stronger fourth quarter. Front-month Brent futures have plunged by as much as 30% since June, trading at four-year lows last week of just under $83/ barrel, buffeted by slowing global demand growth as US crude production hits a 29-year high and amid soaring OPEC output. The sharp decline in Brent will affect product and crude tanker trades, as well as the very large gas carrier (VLGC) market, according to analysis from investment banks and energy consultants. The most immediate impact of falling Brent is the narrowing premium to West Texas Intermediate crude, at $2/barrel last week, the lowest in more than a year. That has made exports of West African and Caspian crude profitable to the US Gulf and Atlantic coasts, according JBC Energy.

机译：国际原油基准布伦特原油价格暴跌，正在改变海上套利贸易流量，其方式可能使油轮运输市场进入第四季度季节性更强的时期，从而进一步受益。自6月以来，近月布伦特原油期货下跌了多达30％，上周交易于四年低点，接近每桶83美元，受到全球需求增长放缓的打击，美国原油产量触及29年高点，同时飙升OPEC输出。根据投资银行和能源顾问的分析，布伦特原油的急剧下跌将影响产品和原油运输船的交易，以及非常大的天然气运输船（VLGC）市场。布伦特原油下跌最直接的影响是收窄了西德克萨斯中质原油的溢价，上周为每桶2美元，是一年多以来的最低水平。 JBC Energy的数据显示，这使西非和里海原油出口至美国墨西哥湾和大西洋沿岸的公司获利。

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《Fairplay》 |2014年第6810期|26-27|共2页
作者
Michelle Wiese Bockmann;
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1. Product Tanker Market Trends 1. Product tanker market conditions firmed in late 2018, with MR spot earnings rising 71% m-o-m to $17,208/day in December. However, earnings in full year 2018 averaged $8,750/day, the lowest level since 1992. 2. In 2019, product tanker demand is projected to expand by 3.5%, with potential support from the return of arbitrage flows to Asia, robust Mexican imports, and growth in exports from the Middle East and Asia. [J] . Oil & Tanker Trades Outlook . 2019,第1期

机译：产品油轮市场趋势1.产品罐车市场条件于2018年底已加强，现货盈利先生盈利上涨71％至12月份的17,208美元至17,208美元。然而，2018年全年的收益平均为8,750美元，自1992年以来的最低水平.2。2019年，产品油轮需求预计将扩大3.5％，审议副本返回亚洲的潜在支持，强大的墨西哥进口，和中东和亚洲出口的增长。
2. Old arbitrage flows to US re-open on WTI/Brent spread [J] . Kawai Wong ICIS News . 2016,第Jana21期

机译：旧的套利流向我们重新打开WTI / Brent Spread
3. Brent-Dubai open arbitrage sees little interest [J] . Andrew Putwain ICIS News . 2020,第Apra27期

机译：布伦特 - 迪拜开放套利会看到很少的兴趣
4. Two-Way Capital Flows Model Based on Multi-Market Arbitrage: Empirical Analysis on Short-Term Capital Flows in China [C] . Tian Geng, Peng Hui, Niu Linyu International Conference on Management and Service Science;MASS 2009 . 2009

机译：基于多市场套利的双向资本流动模型：中国短期资本流动的实证分析
5. Fall River Lake: Comparison of Reservoir Inflow and Local Bias-Correction Technique for CMIP 3 and CMIP 5 Climate Projections, and Legal Analysis of Low-Flow Regulation [D] . Harjo, Rebecca Ann Ward. 2017

机译：福尔里弗河湖：CMIP 3和CMIP 5气候预测的水库入水和局部偏差校正技术的比较，以及低流量调节的法律分析
6. Correction to: Adjunctive Sleep Medications and Depression Outcome in the Treatment of Serotonin-Selective Reuptake Inhibitor Resistant Depression in Adolescents Study by Shamseddeen W Clarke G Keller MB Wagner KD Birmaher B Emslie GJ Ryan N Asarnow JR Porta G and Brent DA. J Child Adolesc Psychopharmacol 22:29–36 2019. DOI: 10.1089/cap.2011.0027 [O] . -1

机译：校正至：补充睡眠药物和抑郁症治疗青少年血清素选择性再摄取抑制剂抵抗性抑郁的研究由Shamseddeen WClarke GKeller MBWagner KDBirmaher BEsslie GJRyan NAsarnow JRPorta G进行研究和Brent DA。 J Child Adolesc Psychopharmacol 22：29–362019. DOI：10.1089 / cap.2011.0027
7. Correction to: Out of the Black Box: Treatment of Resistant Depression in Adolescents and the Antidepressant Controversy by Wagner KD, Asarnow JR, Vitiello B, Clarke G, Keller M, Emslie GJ, Ryan N, Porta G, Iyengar S, Ritz L, Zelanzny J, Onorato M, and Brent D. J Child Adolesc Psychopharmacol 22:5–10, 2012. DOI: 10.1089/cap.2011.0045 [O] . 2019

机译：纠正：脱离黑匣子：用瓦格纳KD，Asarnow Jr，Vitiello B，Clarke G，Keller M，Emslie GJ，Ryan N，Porta G，Iyengar S，Ritz L，Iyengar s，ritz l Zelanzny J，Onorato M和Brent D. J儿童Adolesc Psegicophargol 22：5-10,2012。Doi：10.1089 / CAP.2011.0045

Brent correction changes tanker arbitrage flows

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