Insight: IHS Global Insight

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Insight: IHS Global Insight

机译：透视：IHS全球透视

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Spain could approach the European Stability Mechanism for a partial bailout (or precautionary credit line) in the next few quarters, which could be light on conditions and unaccompanied by intrusive 'troika' supervision, but would still trigger the revamped European Central Bank (ECB) bond-buying programme with regard to Spanish sovereign paper. The size of the partial bailout is likely to be about €50Bn ($66Bn). IHS Global Insight believes that EU/ECB policy-makers hope the mix of a partial bailout and the aggressive ECB bond-buying plan will be enough to drag down bond yields to more sustainable and comfortable levels and cut the risk that Spain will need a full sovereign bailout that could exceed €300Bn (about two years of its gross financing requirements).

机译：西班牙可能会在接下来的几个季度中向欧洲稳定机制寻求部分救助（或预防性信贷额度），这可能会视情况而定，并且不受侵入性的“三驾马车”监管的陪伴，但仍会触发重组后的欧洲中央银行（ECB）西班牙主权票据的债券购买计划。部分纾困的规模可能约为500亿欧元（合660亿美元）。 IHS Global Insight认为，欧盟/欧洲央行政策制定者希望部分纾困和积极的欧洲央行债券购买计划相结合，足以将债券收益率拉低至更可持续和更舒适的水平，并降低西班牙需要全面偿还债券的风险主权援助可能超过3000亿欧元（约为其总融资需求的两年）。

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《Fairplay International Shipping Weekly》 |2013年第6740期|20-20|共1页
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Insight: IHS Global Insight

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