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Year Of The Ox, Bad Year For The Box

机译：牛年，盒子不好的一年

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摘要

The supply of modern bulk carrier sales candidates is failing to match demand as more buyers express an interest in returning to the S&P market. Despite this, buyers are willing to pay a premium over levels that have been reestablished since the freight market bottomed out early in December. Lunar New Year holidays across Asia are likely to affect the volume of transactions concluded in the coming week, but there are enough buyers and sellers elsewhere for activity to continue. The real interest about the start of the Year of the Ox is to what extent the freight markets might turn upwards after the holidays marking its arrival. Tentative signs of recovery in bulk carrier earnings may further encourage buyers to pay what sellers require and push prices upward. When calculating the cost of bulk carriers today, however, as well as the purchase price the buyers must consider the amount of working capital required to keep the vessel trading in a sub-break-even market.
机译：现代散货船销售候选者的供应未能满足需求，因为更多买家表示有兴趣重返标普市场。尽管如此，买家还是愿意为自12月初货运市场触底以来已经重新建立的水平支付溢价。亚洲各地的农历新年假期很可能会影响下周达成的交易量，但其他地方有足够的买家和卖家进行交易。关于牛年开始的真正兴趣是，在假期到来之后，货运市场可能在多大程度上向上上涨。散货船收益的初步迹象可能会进一步鼓励买方支付卖方所需的费用并推高价格。但是，在计算当今散货船的成本以及购买价格时，购买者必须考虑将船舶保持在收支平衡点以下的市场所需的营运资金。

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