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Aframax Market Volatile

机译：Aframax市场动荡

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Has a miracle happened? Has all the excess crude oil in storage in the US been used up? Prompted by the latest premium of WTI over Brent, those are the questions that HSBC has asked. Sadly the answer is 'no! But there is some good news for the tanker market. The price differential between the two crude oils was caused by an oversupply situation on one side.This has now eased as a result of a slight increase in the US demand for products. HSBC tells us that refinery runs and margins have increased.rnThis activity has so far been too slight and too early to have boosted the VLCC market in the Middle East - 280,000 tonne cargoes traded down slightly from Worldscale 37.5 to W35.rnIn the East, double-hulls were attracting rates of W42.5 to Japan and South Korea and single-hull tonnage was seeing W35 or less as the going rate. With an easing of bunker prices, these rates still equate to a figure in excess of $30,000 per day.rnBut there are clouds gathering on the hori-rnzon. Crude oil traded above $45 on Nymex. But OPEC's desire to push oil prices up to the $60-70 per barrel level may prompt more cuts in production. At the cartel's meeting next week all will be revealed. But if reductions are agreed, the 29 or so VLCCs which are still acting as floating storage are likely to discharge their cargoes and be released onto a slack market.
机译：发生奇迹了吗？美国储存的所有多余原油是否已用完？ WTI较布伦特原油高出最新水准，这是汇丰银行提出的问题。可悲的是，答案是“不！但是对于油轮市场来说，有一些好消息。两种原油之间的价格差异是由于一侧的供过于求造成的。由于美国产品需求略有增加，这种情况现已缓解。汇丰银行（HSBC）告诉我们，炼油厂的运营和利润率已经提高.rn到目前为止，这种活动太少且太早，不足以提振中东的VLCC市场-280,000吨货物从世界规模的37.5降至W35略有下降。 -船体吸引W42.5到日本和韩国，单壳吨位则为W35或更低。随着燃油价格的下跌，这些费率仍然相当于每天超过3万美元。rn但是在hori-rnzon上云雾gathering绕。原油在纽约商业交易所的交易价格高于45美元。但是，欧佩克将油价推高至每桶60-70美元的愿望可能会促使减产。在下周的卡特尔会议上，所有事情都会揭晓。但是，如果商定减价，那么仍在充当浮动仓库的29艘VLCC可能会卸货并释放到疲软的市场上。

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    《Fairplay》 |2009年第6522期|44-45|共2页
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