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50 Years Ago In Fairplay

机译：Fairplay 50年前

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Statistics of shipbuilding in the principal countries (new construction in hand or on order on 1 January 1959) prepared by the Shipbuilders' Council of America from the records of that association and from other sources, show that the decline in work has accelerated in the last six months, and that the world orderbooks are now below the level of January 1957. Nevertheless, the amount still on hand is substantial and is equivalent to about three years'work at the present rate of output. In round figures, the decline since the beginning of 1958 is about 7M gt, and, as the output for the yearrnwas about 9M gt, orders have exceeded cancellations by about 2M gt over that period. This shows an undercurrent of confidence which is difficult to reconcile with present trade conditions; but it is probably explained by the orders placed by the large oil companies and by those established owners who must continue to build if they are to continue in business. It is probable, of course, that the figures rather overestimate the position, for there are undoubtedly cancellations which have not been made public and orders which are very delicately 'balanced'.
机译：美国造船商协会根据该协会的记录和其他来源编制的主要国家的造船统计数据（1959年1月1日在手或按订单建造的新船）显示，最近一次工作的下降加速了六个月的时间，世界订单现在低于1957年1月的水平。尽管如此，手头的数量仍然很大，按目前的产量计算，相当于大约三年的工作量。总体而言，自1958年初以来的下降量约为700万总吨，并且由于该年的产量约为900万总吨，在此期间订单已超过取消量约200万总吨。这显示出信心的暗流，很难与当前的贸易状况相吻合；但这可能是由大型石油公司和那些已经建立的所有者下的订单来解释的，这些所有者必须继续建造才能继续营业。当然，这些数字很可能高估了头寸，因为无疑有未公开取消的订单和微妙的“平衡”订单。

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    《Fairplay》 |2009年第6522期|32|共1页
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