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首页> 外文期刊>Fairplay International Shipping Weekly >Keeping watch on rates
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Keeping watch on rates

机译：密切关注利率

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An index that charts how many Americans plan to buy a new car in the next six months has been falling almost weekly for quite some time. It has now reached its lowest level since 1993, says Jarle Sjo, shipping analyst at First Securities in Oslo. "A big question is for how long the currently strong market in the US will last," he noted. "Low-cost finance and even zero finance has boosted sales figures so far, but this may now come to an end." The US dollar has lost ground against a basket of currencies since last year, and this will eventually hurt producers in Asia. "It could take two to three years before Asian exports feel the effect: in 1984-85 the dollar was very strong but the effect started being felt 1987-88," Sjo continued. But once it took hold, that effect was quite substantial: the market share of imported vehicles fell to 10% from 27% between 1988 and 1996.
机译：记录未来六个月有多少美国人计划购买新车的指数几乎已经每周下降了一段时间。奥斯陆第一证券（First Securities）的运输分析师贾里·舍（Jarle Sjo）表示，目前已达到1993年以来的最低水平。他说：“一个大问题是，美国目前强劲的市场将持续多长时间。”到目前为止，低成本的融资甚至零融资已经提高了销售数字，但是现在这可能会结束。自去年以来，美元兑一篮子货币已经下跌，这最终将损害亚洲的生产者。 Sjo继续说道：“亚洲出口可能需要两到三年的时间才能感受到这种影响：在1984-85年间，美元非常坚挺，但在1987-88年间开始感受到这种影响。”但是，一旦取得成功，这种影响就相当可观：进口汽车的市场份额从1988年至1996年间的27％下降到10％。

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