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The next K-Wave and the challenge of global democracy

机译:下一波K波与全球民主的挑战

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Purpose - The aim of the project on which this paper is based is to clarify - using Kondratieff theory of long-term socio-economic cycles - how the next (sixth) wave will look like. The focus lies in the socio-political aspect of change. Design/methodology/approach - The article is a short and partial summary of a major project called "The Sixth Wave", Workshops and surveys have been run in Finland and in Silicon Valley, California. Findings - The project coordinators have been testing the theory of Kondratieff waves with various methods and have found it to be a convincing way to identify the patterns of change. It really brings in anticipatory power to its users. Research limitations/implications - There are lots of interesting implications of using K-Wave as a framework to understand next decades. More research regarding the future technologies in the K-Wave context should be undertaken. Practical implications - The author believes that the K-Wave framework can be also regarded as anticipatory tool for business. The heavy emphasis in the author's K-wave theory on resource productivity as a technology driver for the next wave makes it obvious that all technologies and businesses that aim at performing with greater output with less material or energy input are regarded as winners of their respective schemes in the emerging wave as the demand for these services will rise dramatically. Social implications - The author hopes the article will help people understand how fundamental the change K-Wave engenders in terms of democracy and trust, and that the article will also provide a more comprehensive view towards the transformation we are experiencing. The author anticipates that the idea of corporate social responsibility will become much more compelling in the sixth wave framework. Originality/value - The project coordinators have given a whole new interpretation to the Kondratieff theory. They approach the theory with social science framework rather than customary economic framework, and have also tested their model with the project's industrial partners.
机译:目的-本文所基于的项目的目的是使用Kondratieff的长期社会经济周期理论来阐明下一波(第六波)的样子。重点在于变革的社会政治方面。设计/方法论/方法-本文是一个名为“第六次浪潮”的重大项目的简短和部分摘要,在芬兰和加利福尼亚的硅谷举办了研讨会和调查。调查结果-项目协调员已经用各种方法测试了Kondratieff波浪的理论,并发现这是确定变化模式的一种令人信服的方法。它确实为用户带来了预期的力量。研究局限性/含义-使用K-Wave作为理解未来几十年的框架有很多有趣的含义。应该在K-Wave环境中进行有关未来技术的更多研究。实际意义-作者认为,K-Wave框架也可以视为商业的预期工具。作者的K波理论对资源生产力作为下一波技术驱动力的强调,很明显,所有旨在以更少的材料或能量投入实现更高产出的技术和企业被视为各自方案的赢家在新兴浪潮中,对这些服务的需求将急剧上升。社会意义-作者希望本文能够帮助人们了解K-Wave在民主和信任方面带来的根本改变,并且该文章还将为我们正在经历的变革提供更全面的观点。作者预计,在第六波框架中,企业社会责任的理念将变得更加引人注目。原创性/价值-项目协调员对Kondratieff理论进行了全新的解释。他们采用社会科学框架而非习惯经济框架来研究该理论,并与该项目的行业合作伙伴一起测试了他们的模型。

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