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Assessing immediate learning impacts of large foresight processes

机译：评估大型预见过程的立即学习影响

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Purpose - Foresight often encompasses participative approaches for decision making. This paper aims to give a first overview of the authors' research on immediate learning and networking in the context of foresight. The paper seeks to introduce a practical concept for an accompanying social research of a participatory foresight process for empirically identifying and mapping impacts; and to present empirical results from the study of a specific foresight process. Design/methodology/approach - The authors apply three approaches to analyze impacts. Accordingly data were gathered in moderated workshops for process analysis; structured telephone interviews for qualitative analysis; and surveys for social network analysis. Findings - The accompanying social research produced direct insights on experiences and knowledge acquisition of participants in a large, complex foresight process, as well as a measurable increase of personal ties in this process. This research shows that the perception of the wider spectrum of actors in a social system, as well as their rationales and approaches, are one identifiable and crucial achievement of participative foresight processes. Research limitations/implications - This research focuses on immediate learning impacts, while additional impacts of mid- or longer-term scales were not captured in this study. Accompanying social research (e.g. longitudinal studies) of broader scale would be beneficial to foresight research and process design. Originality/value - The authors use a specific foresight process to analyze its immediate impacts. They introduce and demonstrate ways forward to use practical concepts for impact description, empirical data acquisition, and how it relates to underlying process design. The results are relevant for foresight project managers, process counselors and accompanying social research.
机译：目的-前瞻性通常包括参与性决策方法。本文旨在对作者在预见性背景下的即时学习和网络研究进行初步概述。本文力求为参与式前瞻性过程的社会研究引入一种实践概念，以实证确定和绘制影响。并提供对特定远见过程研究的经验结果。设计/方法/方法-作者采用三种方法来分析影响。因此，在主持人的研讨会上收集了数据，以进行过程分析；结构化的电话采访，以进行定性分析；以及用于社交网络分析的调查。调查结果-伴随的社会研究对大型，复杂的预见过程中的参与者的经验和知识获取产生了直接的见解，并且在此过程中人际关系的可测量的增加。这项研究表明，对社会系统中更广泛的行为者的感知以及他们的理论和方法，是参与式预见过程的一项可识别且至关重要的成就。研究的局限性/含意-这项研究侧重于即时学习的影响，而本研究未涵盖中期或长期量表的其他影响。伴随着更广泛规模的社会研究（例如纵向研究）将有利于远见研究和过程设计。创意/价值-作者使用特定的预见过程来分析其直接影响。他们介绍并演示了将实用概念用于影响描述，经验数据获取以及其与基础流程设计的关系的方法。这些结果与具有远见的项目经理，过程顾问和伴随的社会研究有关。

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