...
  • 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Foresight >Africa 2060: what could be driving the good news from Africa?
【24h】

Africa 2060: what could be driving the good news from Africa?

机译：2060年非洲：什么能推动非洲的好消息？

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Purpose - The aim of this paper is to better understand the good news coming from Africa and reflect on ideas discussed at the ''Africa 2060: Good News from Africa" conference in April 2010 organized by Boston University's Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future. Design/methodology/approach - Africa's performance over the last 50 years has been akin to a roller coaster ride of good news followed by bad news, with the bad news dominating. However since the dawn of the millennium Africa's outlook has increasingly become optimistic. As one looks at Africa's future, several questions emerge: which of these gains can be consolidated? Which of the positive trends will be sustained? Has this recent period of global attention provided the continent with a real institutional scaffolding on which a positive future can be built? And what needs to be done to ensure that the dangers of chronic poverty, conflict, and institutional collapse that still lurk in the shadows will be contained long enough that they eventually disappear? Findings - The authors base their observations on the intense discussions during the conference by practitioners and experts and an engaged and informed audience, plus a broader reading of the literature, including that which was presented at the conference. These observations reflect a locus of expert and informed opinion and provide a window into the priorities that are engaging the imaginations of those thinking deep and hard about Africa's future. The authors distill seven key drivers that are of particular importance in shaping Africa's longer-range future. Of course, all of these can operate in either a positive or a negative direction. It is the decisions that will be made by African and international policy-makers, businesses, civic organizations, and citizens today that will determine which direction Africa will be "driven" towards tomorrow. Originality/value - There are a number of exciting opportunities that await Africa in its future, but many of these also come with potential hurdles and pitfalls. Innovation, entrepreneurship, technology, knowledge, and globalization are among the areas that have generated significant good news to record from Africa. But within each of these areas there is also the potential and reality of bad news. The choice now lies with African citizens, decision makers and societies as to whether they are able to make the type of decisions that will control the negative tendencies of these drivers and accelerate the positive tendencies.
机译：目的-本文的目的是更好地了解来自非洲的好消息，并反思由波士顿大学弗雷德里克·S·帕迪研究中心于2010年4月举办的“非洲2060：来自非洲的好消息”会议上讨论的想法。设计/方法论/方法-非洲在过去50年的表现类似于好消息过山车般的经历，紧接着是坏消息，而坏消息占主导地位，但是自从非洲千年来临以来展望变得越来越乐观，当人们着眼于非洲的未来时，出现了几个问题：哪些收益可以巩固？哪些积极趋势将持续下去？最近的全球关注是否为非洲提供了一个真正的体制性支撑？可以建立一个积极的未来吗？以及需要采取什么措施来确保长期贫困，冲突和体制崩溃的危险仍然隐蔽在阴影中被遏制得足够长，以至于他们最终消失了吗？调查结果-作者的见解基于会议期间从业人员和专家以及与会的知识渊博的听众进行的激烈讨论，以及对文献的广泛阅读，包括会议上介绍的文献。这些意见反映了专家和有见识的意见的来源，并为优先事项提供了一个窗口，这些优先事项吸引了那些对非洲的未来进行深入而艰苦的思考的人们的想象力。作者提炼出七个关键因素，这些因素对塑造非洲的长远未来特别重要。当然，所有这些都可以在正方向或负方向上运行。今天，非洲和国际政策制定者，企业，民间组织和公民将做出决定，这些决定将决定非洲朝着明天“驱动”的方向。原创性/价值-未来非洲有许多激动人心的机会在等待着，但其中许多机会也伴随着潜在的障碍和陷阱。创新，企业家精神，技术，知识和全球化是从非洲产生大量值得记录的好消息的领域。但是在每个领域中，都有坏消息的可能性和现实。非洲公民，决策者和社会现在可以选择他们是否能够做出能够控制这些驱动因素的消极趋势并加快积极趋势的决策。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Foresight》 |2011年第3期|p.100-110|共11页
  • 作者

    Julius Gatune; Adil Najam;

  • 作者单位

    African Centre of Economic Transformation, Accra, Ghana and is Visiting Fellow at Frederick S Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA;

    Frederick S Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    africa; developing countries; emerging economies;

    机译：非洲;发展中国家;新兴经济体;

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号