From future states to images of identity

Derek Wallace

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From future states to images of identity

机译：从未来状态到身份形象

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Purpose - The aim of this paper is to review the use of scenario-building at the central government level in New Zealand and to consider an alternative technique - national imaging - for stimulating public discussion of the future. Design/methodology/approach - The paper briefly surveys New Zealand's history of prospective government before examining scenario construction during the Foresight Project convened by the Ministry of Research, Science and Technology during the late 1990s. Both the official scenarios produced and the guidance given to sector participants to produce their own scenarios are discussed. Findings - Scenario-building in a national government context has pitfalls and limitations, namely that the technique is too ambitious, too socially unitary, and too implicitly long-term to be really useful as a primary focus. Consideration of the shortcomings gives rise to an alternative procedure which focuses on developing images of national identity or conduct rather than envisioning or predicting future states. Practical implications - Scenario building need not be dispensed with, but should be subordinated to democratic discussion of ways of collectively orienting to the future. Originality/value - The paper introduces a new technique of "national imaging" as one that may better serve as an initial (not exclusive) tool of democratic envisioning of the future at the national level.

机译：目的-本文的目的是审查在新西兰中央政府一级情景设计的使用，并考虑一种替代技术-国家成像-来激发公众对未来的讨论。设计/方法论/方法-在研究科学技术部于1990年代末召开的前瞻性项目研究过程中，在考察情景构建之前，本文简要回顾了新西兰准政府的历史。讨论了产生的官方情景以及为行业参与者提供自己的情景的指南。研究结果-在国家政府的背景下进行情景设计存在缺陷和局限性，即该技术过于雄心勃勃，社会统一性以及长期隐含性而无法真正成为主要重点。考虑到这些缺点，便产生了一种替代程序，该程序着重于发展国民身份或行为的形象，而不是设想或预测未来的状态。实际的意义-场景创建不是必须的，而应该服从于关于面向未来的集体方式的民主讨论。原创性/价值-本文介绍了一种“国家形象”的新技术，它可以更好地用作在国家一级对未来进行民主构想的初始（而非排他性）工具。

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来源
《Foresight》 |2007年第1期|p.26-36|共11页
作者
Derek Wallace;
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作者单位

School of Linguistics, Victoria University, Wellington, New Zealand;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类政治、法律;
关键词
complexity theory; forecasting; government; New Zealand;

机译：复杂性理论;预测;政府;新西兰;

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7. The Nak’azdli Whu’ten is a First Nations community located in northern British Columbia Canada. They have prioritized support for the mental health and wellbeing of their Elders and were keen to strengthen intergenerational linkages in the community to preserve cultural wisdom held by the elders for future generations. We co-created a digital storytelling workshop using technology to facilitate knowledge-sharing between Elders and youths. This pilot 10 session workshop involved all grade 6 and 7 students at a First Nations school and 20 First Nations Elders. Students recorded the Elders who orally shared stories and then added imagery and sounds to capture their understandings and create a digital story. The workshop was led by elders. Our project demonstrates one way to document oral histories while simultaneously building intergenerational relationships. We will discuss how this project successfully fostered intergenerational relationships, helped preserve cultural identity, and reduced social isolation of First Nations Elders. [O] . L Thiamwong 2018

机译：Nak'azdli Whu'ten是位于不列颠哥伦比亚省北部加拿大的第一个国家社区。他们对他们长辈的心理健康和福祉得到了优先考虑的支持，并热衷于加强社区的代际联系，以保护长老持有的未来几代文化智慧。我们共同创建了一种数字讲故事的研讨会，使用技术来促进长老和青少年之间的知识共享。该试点10会议研讨会涉及所有6级和7名学生，在第一家国家和20名第一国家长老。学生记录了口头共享故事的长老，然后添加了图像，听起来捕捉他们的理解并创造一个数字故事。研讨会由长老领导。我们的项目在同时构建代际关系的同时展示了一种记录口语历史的一种方法。我们将讨论该项目如何成功培养代互动关系，有助于保护文化身份，并减少第一国长老的社会孤立。

From future states to images of identity

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