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Scenario-planning in strategic decision-making: requirements, benefits and inhibitors

机译：战略决策中的场景规划：需求，收益和障碍

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摘要

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to explore the corporate requirements, benefits and inhibitors of scenario planning in strategic decision-making. Design/methodology/approach - This paper is based on a sample of 15 case studies with executives in the South African context to reveal the perceived corporate requirements, benefits and inhibitors of scenario-planning. Findings - From the cases, it is evident that industry-, organizational- and leadership-related factors enable or inhibit scenario planning. Requirements, benefits and inhibitors are revealed in strategic decision-making. Research limitations/implications - Further research to determine supportive tools and technologies for enabling scenario-planning across multiple contexts is needed. Practical implications - This paper expands insights into the requirements, benefits and inhibitors of scenario-planning in strategic decision-making. Originality/value - Given the increasing complexity of the business environment, a framework of scenario-thinking is presented and recommend greater emphasis on developing strategic decisionmaking competence, changed mindsets and organizational agility.
机译：目的-本文的目的是在战略决策中探索公司需求，方案规划的利益和障碍。设计/方法/方法-本文基于在南非范围内与高管人员进行的15个案例研究样本，以揭示感知到的公司需求，方案规划的利益和障碍。调查结果-从这些案例中可以明显看出，与行业，组织和领导力相关的因素可以启用或抑制场景规划。需求，利益和阻碍因素在战略决策中得以揭示。研究的局限性/意义-需要进一步的研究来确定支持工具和技术，以实现跨多种情况的方案规划。实际意义-本文扩展了对战略决策中场景规划的要求，收益和阻碍的见解。原创性/价值-鉴于业务环境日益复杂，提出了一种情景思考框架，并建议人们更加重视发展战略决策能力，改变思维方式和组织敏捷性。

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  • 来源
    《Foresight》 |2018年第6期|602-621|共20页
  • 作者

    Danielle Meyerowitz; Charlene Lew; Goeran Svensson;

  • 作者单位

    Gordon Institute of Business Science, University of Pretoria, Johannesburg, South Africa;

    Gordon Institute of Business Science, University of Pretoria, Johannesburg, South Africa;

    Hoyskolen Campus Kristiania, Oslo, Norway;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Scenario planning;

    机译：方案规划;

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