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Transitional foresight: MLP as the theoretical underpinning of CLA: the case of the water sector of Iran

机译：过渡前瞻：MLP作为CLA的理论基础：伊朗水部门的情况

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Purpose - The paper aims to complement the six pillars analysis with the multi-level perspective to make it more systematic and policy relevant.Design/methodology/approach - Take the innovation system foresight as the exemplar; the paper asks if the other systemic approaches to innovation can function as the middle range theory and underpin critical future studies. To answer, the paper combines the six-pillar approach (SPA) with the multilevel perspective (MLP) and builds "transitional foresight". Then it takes the fourth pillar; transitional causal layered analysis and applies it to a case study: water stress in Iran. The paper concludes noting that in transitional foresight, the borderlines, the players and the orientations of the foresight are clearer than the six-pillar analysis.Findings - The SPA and MLP-integrated framework make a powerful research instrument for transitional foresight.Research limitations/implications - The paper applied the integrated framework to a case "water system in Iran". But the framework should be applied in different cases in different countries to test its applicability.Practical implications - The suggested framework can be used as a heuristics for the students and researchers who want to engage with the emancipatory perspective of the six-pillar approach and need to have an academic methodology with rigor and granularity. Originality/value - The six-pillar approach of Sohail Inayatullah and the multilevel perspective of Geels can combine to make a powerful heuristic for transitional foresight.
机译：目的 - 论文旨在补充多级视角的六个柱子分析，使其更加系统化和政策.Design/Methodology/Approach - 以创新制度远见为例;本文询问其他系统的创新方法是否可以作为中范围理论和基础关键的未来研究。要回答，本文将六支尺寸（SPA）与多级透视（MLP）相结合，并建立“过渡前瞻”。然后它需要第四个柱子;过渡因果层分析并将其应用于案例研究：伊朗水分压力。本文的结论是，在过渡前瞻性中，边界线，球员和远见的方向更加清晰，而不是六个柱分析.Findings - SPA和MLP整合框架为过渡前瞻性提供了强大的研究仪器。研究限制/含义 - 本文将综合框架应用于“伊朗水系统”的综合框架。但该框架应适用于不同国家的不同案例，以测试其适用性。实践意义 - 建议的框架可以用作希望与六支六支六支举级的解放观点聘用的学生和研究人员的启发式方法具有严谨性和粒度的学术方法。原创性/价值 - 索马伊索径的六个支柱方法和盖米尔的多级角度可以相结合，为过渡前瞻性提出强大的启发式。

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