USING TRENDS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS TO DEVELOP FORESIGHT

Nicholas C. Spatafore

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USING TRENDS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS TO DEVELOP FORESIGHT

机译：在金融市场中使用趋势来发展远见

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Understanding how trends in the financial marketplace can affect your future planning study is the first step to using it as a tool. The financial markets are huge and can quickly impact businesses, industries, and even nations in a short period of time.rnFinancial trend analysis is just one more tool to use to analyze your future plan or study. As we have already seen financial markets can breakup the largest corporations in the world. They affect high tech business sectors by investing in nations around the globe such as India, that offer comparative engineering labor advantages for product design and development. Financial markets can frustrate and work contrary to government policy makers of G-7 nations like Germany; and they can create massive employment and infrastructure development as in China and elsewhere.

机译：了解金融市场的趋势如何影响您的未来规划研究是将其用作工具的第一步。金融市场巨大，可以在短时间内迅速影响企业，行业甚至国家。金融趋势分析只是用于分析未来计划或研究的又一工具。正如我们已经看到的，金融市场可以使世界上最大的公司破产。它们通过在印度等全球国家进行投资来影响高科技商业领域，这些国家在产品设计和开发方面具有相对的工程劳动力优势。金融市场可能会挫败并与德国等七国集团国家的政府决策者背道而驰；它们可以像中国和其他地区一样创造大量的就业机会和基础设施发展。

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来源
《Futures research quarterly》 |2007年第1期|41-54|共14页
作者
Nicholas C. Spatafore;
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Organization Economics, Bellmawr, New Jersey;

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正文语种 eng
中图分类自然科学总论;
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2. The 'Narrative Turn' in developing foresight: Assessing how cultural products can assist organisations in detecting trends [J] . Schwarz Jan Oliver Technological forecasting and social change . 2015,第JANaPTaB期

机译：发展远见的“叙事转向”：评估文化产品如何帮助组织发现趋势
3. Recent Trends in Financial Globalization and Psychology of Investment in Financial Markets [J] . Mahmoud Abdelaziz Touny, Khaled Alsaeed Qamar, Ehab Lotfy Abdelaal Abed, International Journal of Applied Engineering Research . 2019,第24期

机译：最近金融全球化与金融市场投资心理的趋势
4. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN GLOBAL AND DOMESTIC STOCK MARKETS, FINANCIAL RISK RATINGS AND DEVELOPED STOCK MARKET SECTORS: EVIDENCE FROM THE US OIL AND GAS SECTOR [C] . John L Simpson1 IAEE international conference . 2012

机译：全球和国内股票市场，金融风险等级和发达的股票市场部门之间的关系：来自美国石油和天然气行业的证据
5. Trends and cycles in financial markets: Essays in time series econometrics. [D] . Smith, Jacob B. L. 2016

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机译：使用Google趋势量化金融市场中的交易行为
7. Financial Development and the Distributional Effects of Monetary Policy Do the distributional consequences of monetary policy depend on the extent of financial development? Should optimal monetary policy vary across countries? In order to answer these questions, we develop a monetary growth production model with heterogeneous agents. In our economy, optimal policy needs to weigh the effects of policy across two groups — capital owners and individuals who hold liquid assets. While banks help limit the exposure to inflation, there are limits because money alleviates the frictions of private information and limited communication. In this environment, we compare two economies that are identical in every aspect except for their level of financial development. In a country with limited financial development, a stock market is absent. In the other, an equity market is active. In either economy, inflation adversely affects capital formation and output. Individuals who hold liquid assets are always adversely affected by inflation, but the attitude of capital owners depends on the level of financial development. In particular, in the presence of a stock market, the impact of inflation on the welfare of capital owners is non-monotonic. Nevertheless, optimal monetary policy is always more conservative at higher levels of financial development. [O] . TINA M. Edgar A. Ghossoub, TINA M. Robert R. Reedy 100

机译：金融发展和货币政策的分配效应货币政策的分配后果是否取决于金融发展的程度？各国的最优货币政策应该不同吗？为了回答这些问题，我们开发了一个具有异构代理的货币增长生产模型。在我们的经济中，最优政策需要权衡两个群体的政策效应 - 资本所有者和持有流动资产的个人。虽然银行帮助限制通胀风险，但存在限制，因为资金减轻了私人信息的摩擦和有限的沟通。在这种环境下，我们比较两个经济体在各个方面都是相同的，除了它们的金融发展水平。在金融发展有限的国家，缺乏股票市场。另一方面，股票市场活跃。在任一经济体中，通胀都会对资本形成和产出产生不利影响持有流动资产的个人总是受到通货膨胀的不利影响，但资本所有者的态度取决于金融发展的水平。特别是，在股票市场存在的情况下，通货膨胀对资本所有者福利的影响是非单调的。尽管如此，在较高的金融发展水平下，最优货币政策总是更加保守。

USING TRENDS IN FINANCIAL MARKETS TO DEVELOP FORESIGHT

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