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FUTURES STUDIES AND PROJECT EGYPT 2020

机译：埃及未来研究与项目2020

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Our experience with futures studies in Egypt shows that such studies are not easy to design and carry out. They involve painstaking efforts, and require a lot of time and generous budgets. Successful futures studies need to be participatory, in the sense that they should be performed through teamwork, and that sufficient room is allowed for popular participation, i.e., for engaging intellectuals, social and political activists and ordinary people in their activities. In reality, teamwork is often slow to materialize, and the scope for popular participation is often constrained by financial, political and time factors. Social demand for futures studies turned out to be very weak. In fact, most of the futures studies reviewed were initiated by foreign or international organizations, e.g., Food and Agriculture Organization, United Nations Population Fund, OECD, etc. The Egypt 2020 project is an exception, in that it was endogenously initiated by an NGO, the Cairo branch of the Third World Forum. Indeed, the initiative was more personal than institutional, as the project owes its idea and existence to the enthusiasm and dedication of Professor Ismail-Sabri Abdalla, to his willingness to face a variety of challenges, and to his excellent connections with key decision makers in the Egyptian government. In contrast, government circles and even many researchers and intellectuals tend to view futures studies as a kind of mental luxury that a developing country such as Egypt could not afford. This situation calls for great efforts to propagate the concept of futures studies, and to explain their purposes and their potential contribution to public debate and the decision-making process. Both adults and children need to receive future-oriented education through well-designed and well-targeted programs, including programs to bring futures studies to the classrooms. In short, we should do everything possible to fill the vacuum caused by the absence of a future-oriented culture in our society and by the lack of sufficient competencies in the futures field.
机译：我们在埃及进行的期货研究的经验表明，这类研究并不容易设计和实施。他们需要付出艰苦的努力，并且需要大量时间和大量预算。成功的期货研究必须具有参与性，因为它们应该通过团队合作进行，并且要有足够的空间让民众参与，即让知识分子，社会和政治活动家以及普通人参与进来。实际上，团队合作通常很难实现，而公众参与的范围通常受到财务，政治和时间因素的限制。事实证明，社会对期货研究的需求非常薄弱。实际上，所审查的大多数期货研究是由外国或国际组织（例如，粮食及农业组织，联合国人口基金，经合组织等）发起的。“埃及2020”项目是一个例外，因为它是由非政府组织内生发起的。第三世界论坛的开罗分部。的确，该计划比体制更个人化，因为该项目的想法和存在归因于Ismail-Sabri Abdalla教授的热情和奉献精神，他愿意面对各种挑战的意愿以及与各主要决策者的良好联系。埃及政府。相比之下，政府界甚至许多研究人员和知识分子都倾向于将期货研究视为一种精神上的奢侈品，这是埃及等发展中国家所无法承受的。这种情况要求大力宣传期货研究的概念，并解释其目的及其对公众辩论和决策过程的潜在贡献。成人和儿童都需要通过精心设计和针对性强的计划，包括将未来研究带入课堂的计划，来接受面向未来的教育。简而言之，我们应尽一切可能填补由于我们的社会缺乏面向未来的文化以及期货领域缺乏足够能力而造成的真空。

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