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Exploring anticipated futures: Dutch Grassroot Initiatives anticipating futures in the energy transition

机译：探索预期的期货：荷兰草原举措预计期货在能源转型中

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In the energy transition process, Grassroot Initiatives (GIs) are increasingly recognized by both researchers and policy makers as new actors. GIs aim to create a sustainable society in both generation and consumption of energy, responding to the local situation, interests and values of the communities involved (Seyfang and Smith, 2017). Looking at this definition, it appears that GIs anticipate certain futures when they initiate and develop their projects. For example, they steadily increase the production of renewables such as solar and wind to make a profit. The aim of this paper is to broadly explore the futures anticipated by GIs. To investigate this topic, we analyse anticipated futures of GIs communicated in the media, using a futures framing approach with athematic categorizations (probable, possible and preferred futures; optimistic and pessimistic futures; and the time horizon) and thematic aspects: environmental, political, economic, social and technical. The results show connections between certain thematic frames and the types of futures. For example, the desired futures anticipated by GIs are dominantly environmental and social futures, while the expected future is mainly economic and technological. The environmental desired future has a long time horizon, while the social desired futures were anticipated in the very near future. Interestingly, politics play a relatively small role as anticipated future of GIs.
机译：在能源过渡过程中，基层举措（GIS）都被研究人员和决策者作为新作用者越来越识别。 GIS旨在创造一个可持续的社会，在生成和消费能源中，应对所涉及的社区的当地情况，利益和价值（Seyfang和Smith，2017）。看待这个定义，似乎GIS在启动和发展项目时，GIS预计某些期货。例如，他们稳步增加了可再生能源的生产，如太阳能和风力以获得利润。本文的目的是广泛地探索GIS预期的期货。要调查本课题，我们分析了在媒体中沟通的预期期货，利用与宇宙分类的期货框架方法（可能，可能和首选期货;乐观和悲观的期货;和时间地区）和主题方面：环境，政治，经济，社会和技术。结果显示了某些专题框架与期货类型之间的连接。例如，GIS预期的所需期货是占据统治的环境和社会期货，而预期的未来主要是经济和技术。环境所需的未来有很长的时间，而社会期望的期货将在不久的将来预期。有趣的是，政治发挥了相对较小的角色，作为GIS的预期未来。

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