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Possibilistic individual multi-period consumption investment models

机译:可能的个人多期消费投资模型

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In this paper, we consider a multi-period consumption investment problem with partially known information for an individual. We emphasize the fact that for an individual there is one and only one result will appear for his/her consumption investment decision in each period. Different from the existing multi-period consumption investment models which basically maximize the expected utility, we utilize the one-shot decision theory for individual multi-period consumption investment problems. In each period, the individual chooses one state (scenario) for each strategy with considering the satisfaction of the outcome and its possibility. The selected state is called the focus point. The multi-period consumption investment decision models with twelve types of focus points are built to maximize the sum of discounted consumption over the whole process (lifetime) for twelve types of individuals and economic insights are gained by the theoretical analysis. The proposed models are scenario-based decision models which provide a fundamental alternative to analyze individual multi-period consumption investment behavior. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑一个具有部分已知信息的个人的多期消费投资问题。我们强调以下事实:对于个人而言,每个时期的消费投资决策只会出现一个结果。与现有的多期消费投资模型基本上使预期效用最大化,我们将单发决策理论用于单个多期消费投资问题。在每个阶段中,个人都会考虑结果的满意度及其可能性,为每种策略选择一种状态(方案)。所选状态称为焦点。建立具有十二种焦点的多期消费投资决策模型,以使十二种类型的个人在整个过程(生命周期)内的折现消费总和最大化,并通过理论分析获得经济见解。所提出的模型是基于场景的决策模型,它提供了一个基本的替代方案来分析单个多期消费投资行为。 (C)2015 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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