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A position paper on the agenda for soft decision analysis

机译:关于软决策分析的议程立场文件

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In this position paper, we shall undertake a critical scrutiny of the decision analysis (DA) paradigm on the basis of experience we gained from working on the bullwhip effect. We had some success with sorting out the complexities of the bullwhip by using fuzzy numbers in the bullwhip models, and we found out that this points the way to a more viable approach to sort out complex decision problems. As a positive criticism of the DA paradigm we have collected the insights we have gained in an agenda for soft decision analysis (SDA), which we hasten to add is not complete but―hopefully―an opening for focused research and continuing development.
机译:在本立场文件中,我们将基于对牛鞭效应的研究经验,对决策分析(DA)范式进行严格审查。通过在牛鞭模型中使用模糊数来分类牛鞭的复杂性,我们取得了一些成功,并且我们发现这为解决复杂决策问题的更可行方法指明了道路。作为对DA范式的积极批评,我们收集了我们在软决策分析(SDA)议程中获得的见解,我们不得不补充这一观点并不完整,但有希望的是,这为重点研究和持续发展提供了机会。

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