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The Curse and Blessing of Training the Unemployed in a Changing Economy: The Case of East Germany After Unification

机译:在不断变化的经济中训练失业者的诅咒和祝福:统一后的东德案例

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We analyse the effects of government-sponsored training for the unemployed conducted during East German transition. For the microeconometric analysis, we use a new, large and informative administrative database that allows us to use matching methods to address potential selection bias, to study different types of programmes and to observe labour market outcomes over eight years. We find strong evidence that, on average, the training programmes under investigation increase long-term employment prospects and earnings. However, as an important exception, the longer training programmes are not helpful for their male participants. At least part of the explanation for this negative result is that caseworkers severely misjudged the structure of the future demand for skills.
机译:我们分析了政府资助的培训对东德过渡时期失业人员的影响。对于微观计量经济分析,我们使用了一个新的,大型的,信息量大的管理数据库,该数据库使我们能够使用匹配方法来解决潜在的选择偏见,研究不同类型的计划并观察八年来的劳动力市场成果。我们发现有力的证据表明,平均而言,所调查的培训计划可提高长期就业前景和收入。但是,一个重要的例外是,较长的培训计划对其男性参与者没有帮助。对此消极结果的至少部分解释是,案例工作者严重误判了未来对技能的需求结构。

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