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Macroeconomic News and Stock Returns in the United States and Germany

机译:美国和德国的宏观经济新闻和股票回报

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摘要

Using daily data for the January 1997 to June 2002 period, we analyze similarities and differences in the impact of macroeconomic news on stock returns in the United States and Germany. We consider 27 different types of news for the United States and 12 different types of news for Germany. For the United States, we present evidence for asymmetric reactions of stock prices to news. In a boom (recession) period, bad (good) news on GDP growth and unemployment or lower (higher) than expected interest rates may be good news for stock prices. In the period under consideration there is little evidence for asymmetric effects in Germany. However, in the case of Germany, international news appears at least as important as domestic news. There is no evidence that US stock prices are influenced by German news. The analysis of bi-hourly data for Germany confirms these results.
机译:使用1997年1月至2002年6月期间的每日数据,我们分析了宏观经济新闻对美国和德国股票收益的影响的异同。我们考虑了美国的27种不同类型的新闻和德国的12种不同类型的新闻。对于美国,我们提供了股价对新闻不对称反应的证据。在繁荣(衰退)时期,有关GDP增长和失业的坏消息(好消息)或低于(高于)预期利率的坏消息可能是股价上涨的好消息。在本报告所述期间,几乎没有证据表明德国有不对称影响。但是,在德国,国际新闻似乎至少与国内新闻一样重要。没有证据表明美国股价受到德国新闻的影响。对德国每两小时一次数据的分析证实了这些结果。

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