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Sea Water Intrusion by Sea-Level Rise: Scenarios for the 21st Century

机译:海平面上升引起的海水入侵:21世纪的情景

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摘要

This study presents a method to assess the contributions of 21st-century sea-level rise and groundwater extraction to sea water intrusion in coastal aquifers. Sea water intrusion is represented by the landward advance of the 10,000 mg/L iso-salinity line, a concentration of dissolved salts that renders groundwater unsuitable for human use. A mathematical formulation of the resolution of sea water intrusion among its causes was quantified via numerical simulation under scenarios of change in groundwater extraction and sea-level rise in the 21st century. The developed method is illustrated with simulations of sea water intrusion in the Seaside Area sub-basin near the City of Monterey, California (USA), where predictions of mean sea-level rise through the early 21 st century range from 0.10 to 0.90 m due to increasing global mean surface temperature. The modeling simulation was carried out with a state-of-the-art numerical model that accounts for the effects of salinity on groundwater density and can approximate hydrostratigraphic geometry closely. Simulations of sea water intrusion corresponding to various combinations of groundwater extraction and sea-level rise established that groundwater extraction is the predominant driver of sea water intrusion in the study aquifer. The method presented in this work is applicable to coastal aquifers under a variety of other scenarios of change not considered in this work. For example, one could resolve what changes in groundwater extraction and/or sea level would cause specified levels of groundwater salinization at strategic locations and times.
机译:这项研究提出了一种评估21世纪海平面上升和地下水提取对沿海含水层中海水入侵的贡献的方法。 10,000 mg / L的盐度线向陆地前进是海水入侵的代表,盐分浓度很高,使地下水不适合人类使用。在21世纪地下水开采量变化和海平面上升的情况下,通过数值模拟量化了造成海水入侵的原因的数学公式。通过模拟在加利福尼亚州蒙特雷市(美国)附近的海滨地区流域的海水入侵说明了开发的方法,该地区在整个21世纪初的平均海平面上升的预测范围为0.10至0.90 m。增加全球平均表面温度。建模模拟是使用最新的数值模型进行的,该数值模型说明了盐度对地下水密度的影响,并且可以紧密近似水文地层的几何形状。对与地下水抽取和海平面上升的各种组合相对应的海水入侵进行的模拟确定,在研究含水层中,地下水抽取是海水入侵的主要驱动力。这项工作中介绍的方法适用于在此工作中未考虑的其他各种变化情况下的沿海含水层。例如,人们可以解决在战略性地点和时间,地下水开采和/或海平面的变化将导致特定水平的地下水盐碱化的问题。

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  • 来源
    《Ground water》 |2012年第1期|p.37-47|共11页
  • 作者单位

    Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106;

    Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106;

    Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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