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Organic light-emitting diodes — friend or foe?

机译：有机发光二极管–敌还是友？

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摘要

The Ⅲ-Ⅴs industry has seen quite a lot of progress in the past year. Both technology and business have, on balance, had a good 2005. The market for light-emitting diodes (LEDs) continues to expand. But some see tougher times ahead. One technology almost certain to impact Ⅲ-Ⅴ LEDs will be organic LEDs (OLEDs). Despite their similar names, Ⅲ-Ⅴ light-emitting diode (LED) and organic light-emitting diode (OLED) technologies have many differences. They also have similarities. More importantly, their fortunes are interlinked. Readers will be aware of these, but opinions differ on how the market could develop. In the worst-case scenario, the market for Ⅲ-Ⅴ LEDs may be wiped out. However, given their importance in so many fields, this is unlikely. A more reasonable expectation is coexistence, or even synergy, between Ⅲ-Ⅴ and organic LEDs. In five years time these technologies should have carved up the market between them. Some companies will have an interest in both, while many will continue to favour Ⅲ-Ⅴs rather than OLEDs.
机译：过去一年，Ⅲ-Ⅴs产业取得了很大进步。总而言之，2005年的技术和业务都取得了不错的成绩。发光二极管（LED）市场继续扩大。但是，有些人认为未来会更加艰难。几乎可以确定会影响Ⅲ-ⅤLED的一种技术是有机LED（OLED）。尽管它们的名称相似，但Ⅲ-Ⅴ发光二极管（LED）和有机发光二极管（OLED）技术却有许多差异。他们也有相似之处。更重要的是，他们的命运是相互联系的。读者会意识到这些，但是对于市场如何发展存在不同意见。在最坏的情况下，Ⅲ-ⅤLED的市场可能会被淘汰。但是，鉴于它们在许多领域中的重要性，这是不可能的。更加合理的期望是Ⅲ-Ⅴ与有机LED并存，甚至协同作用。在五年的时间里，这些技术应该在它们之间开拓了市场。一些公司将对两者都有兴趣，而许多公司将继续青睐Ⅲ-Ⅴ族化合物而不是OLED。

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